“…Considering that the current distribution of P. destructans in North America and Europe is entirely north of latitude 23.5°N (the Tropic of Cancer). In order to avoid projection onto entirely novel conditions (Elith et al, 2010;Owens et al, 2013), we explored the invasive potential of the agent in continental areas south of latitude 23.5°S (the Tropic of Capricorn) including portions of Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Paraguay, and Uruguay. We developed and explored six maps representing the following niche model projections: North America, Europe, North America and Europe pooled, North America projected to South America, Europe projected to South America and North America and Europe pooled projected to South America.…”