In this paper, we study the distribution and interpretation of a non-temporal use of the future tense in Italian, called 'presumptive' or 'epistemic', which we label here PF. We first distinguish PF from its closest modal relatives, namely epistemic necessity/possibility/likelihood modals, as well as weak necessity modals. We then propose an account of PF in declaratives and interrogatives that treats it as a special comparative subjective likelihood modal, and test its empirical predictions. A theoretical lesson drawn from this detailed study of the semantics of PF is that semantics needs sharpened theoretical tools to be able to capture the fine-grained distinctions languages make when it comes to signaling modulated epistemic commitment to a proposition.
Keywords Future tense • Modality • Epistemic • SubjectivityWe are grateful to Ashwini Deo, the editor of this paper, and three anonymous reviewers at Linguistics and Philosophy for the extensive and helpful comments we received throughout the reviewing process. For discussions and feedback, we thank the audience at SALT 29, as well as the audiences at the