Conflict over a hydropower plant project between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan

Ito, Sonoko; Khatib, Sameh El; Nakayama, Mikiyasu

doi:10.1080/07900627.2015.1076381

Cited by 15 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 8 publications

(6 reference statements)

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“…While this has been criticized as an act of prolonging the process-while Laos moved ahead with the construction of XHP, albeit with a redesign of the project to include more environmental impact mitigation measure, amounting to additional costs of US-$100 million-it is nonetheless a demonstration of countries' continued will to cooperate and to jointly address their disagreement instead of escalating the conflict verbally or through other forms of conflictive action. This makes the Mekong dam disagreement different from other basins that have faced similar conflicts, such as the Aral Sea Basin in the context of the Rogun Dam or the Nile River Basin in the context of GERD, where no consultation process on the basis of pre-defined mechanisms and managed by a basin organization mandated to engage in such issues was conducted, dialogue could not always be maintained and the conflict escalated up to a level where countries threatened the use of force (Ito et al, 2016;Lawson, 2017;Cascão et al, 2021;Sehring and Ibatullin, 2021).…”

Section: The Mekong River Basinmentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of institutionalized cooperation in transboundary basins in mitigating conflict potential over hydropower dams

Schmeier

2024

Front. Clim.

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Numerous dams are currently being built, many of them in transboundary basins. This can lead to disagreements and conflicts between riparian states, compromising not only environmental and social sustainability, but also regional stability and peace. Addressing such conflict risks, states have developed legal and governance mechanisms to address the conflict potential around dams, ranging from international water law principles to dam-specific provisions in basin treaties and from basin management plans to environmental impact assessment approaches. This paper assesses whether, how and to what extent such institutionalized governance mechanisms can prevent or mitigate conflict through both a global perspective (based on global datasets on international water treaties and basin organizations) and a case study perspective (conducting an in-depth analysis of three basins the Mekong, Zambezi, and Senegal river basins). It finds that globally there is a shortcoming in institutionalized cooperation mechanisms preventing and mitigating conflict risks over dams, but in those albeit rather few basins where they do exist, they can reduce conflict risks and thus benefit riparian people, ecosystems, and countries. These findings contribute to the broader discourse on the role of international water law and basin organizations in sustainably managing shared water resources and support calls for the strengthening of those.

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Section: The Mekong River Basinmentioning

confidence: 99%

The role of institutionalized cooperation in transboundary basins in mitigating conflict potential over hydropower dams

Schmeier

2024

Front. Clim.

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“…Considering the demographic projections, inadequate regional cooperation in energy and water sharing appears to be a specific obstacle to achieving a sustainable transition [86]. The conflict between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan regarding the joint use of the new Rogun hydropower plant construction remains unresolved, despite the intervention of donors [87]. All of the above indirectly indicates the unwillingness of the government and institutions to commit to a sustainable energy transition.…”

Section: Actions Towards the Green Transitionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Key forecasts and prospects for green transition in the region of Central Asia beyond 2022

Filipović,

Orlov,

Panić

2024

Energ Sustain Soc

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Background The transition to energy-sustainable systems is a globally accepted concept, but it is implemented with various degrees of success around the world. The aim of this paper is to determine the status of green transition in five Central Asian countries (Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, and the Kyrgyz Republic) that are among the highest energy consumers globally and the most vulnerable to climate change. Despite a notable improvement in living conditions across all countries over the past two decades, the region remains underdeveloped. Economic growth is based on the export of natural resources and remittance inflows, but the structure of the economy is monolithic. Main findings Upon analysing transition indicators for the period 2000–2020, no evidence of significant changes towards a sustainable energy transition is found. All countries in the region (except Uzbekistan) have recorded an increase in carbon emissions, while the carbon intensity of the energy mix is almost the same. While there has been visible progress in reducing energy intensity, the countries in the region remain among the most energy-intensive economies. Despite the region’s substantial potential for renewable energy production, it remains underutilized. Conclusions A multitude of varied problems accompanies the green transition in Central Asian countries. The energy market that has not yet been liberalised, along with significant subsidies and low energy tariffs, discourages investments in renewable energy sources and energy efficiency initiatives. A high level of corruption, rigid legislative and institutional infrastructure, and insufficient capital are additional factors that determine the speed, scope, and effectiveness of the green transition. Thus far, the primary focus in these countries has been on ensuring energy security. However, there has been a discernible surge in investments (particularly from China) in renewable energy projects. Although energy efficiency and climate change issues are formally defined, the energy transition goals are often declarative without an action plan that provides concrete steps in transition process. Strategic planing of economic development that includes all related sectors (not only the energy sector) and paying attention to socio-economic and environmental indicators of sustainable development are prerequisites for successfully implementating the energy transition in these countries.

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“…Many developing countries have major undeveloped hydropower potential, and there are opportunities to develop hydropower combined with other economic activities such as irrigation (Lacombe et al 2014). Competition for hydropower across country borders can lead to conflict, which could be exacerbated if climate alters rainfall and streamflow (Ito et al 2016).…”

Section: Gross Hydropower Potential [Gwh Yr -1 ]mentioning

confidence: 99%

Energy Systems

2023

Climate Change 2022 - Mitigation of Climate Change

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The Costs and Benefits of Low-carbon Energy System Transitions in the Context of Sustainable Development �� 703 Frequently Asked Questions �� 707 FAQ 6.1: Will energy systems that emit little or no CO 2 be different than those of today? 707 FAQ 6.2: Can renewable sources provide all the energy needed for energy systems that emit little or no CO 2 ? �� 707 FAQ 6.3: What are the most important steps to decarbonise the energy system? �� 707 Energy Systems Chapter 6

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Conflict over a hydropower plant project between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan

Cited by 15 publications

References 8 publications

The role of institutionalized cooperation in transboundary basins in mitigating conflict potential over hydropower dams

The role of institutionalized cooperation in transboundary basins in mitigating conflict potential over hydropower dams

Key forecasts and prospects for green transition in the region of Central Asia beyond 2022

Energy Systems

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