Conflict and counterinsurgency aid: Drawing sectoral distinctions

Child, Travers Barclay

doi:10.1016/j.jdeveco.2018.06.003

Cited by 19 publications

(17 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Our paper aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between development aid and conflict at the subnational level. The contribution of our paper is to bridge the gap between existing studies using various countries at the aggregated country level (Bluhm et al, 2016;Nielsen et al, 2011;Nunn and Qian, 2014), and studies focusing on specific types of aid or individual countries (Berman et al, 2011;Child, 2018;Crost et al, 2014). To achieve that aim, we examine two donors that represent two contrasting approaches to development, the WB and China.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…While the literature on aid converges towards a small, but mostly positive effect on development outcomes Galiani et al, 2017;Clemens et al, 2011), other studies have raised the question whether in some cases aid might actually fuel instead of pacify conflict (Nunn and Qian, 2014;Child, 2018;Crost et al, 2014Crost et al, , 2016. Nunn and Qian (2014), for instance, show that US food aid seems to lead to more conflict.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Crost et al (2014) and Crost et al (2016) show that development projects in the Philippines and Iraq can lead to an increase in conflict. Generally, the existing literature on the relationship between aid and conflict is mostly focusing on the macro country level (Bluhm et al, 2016;Nielsen et al, 2011;Nunn and Qian, 2014) or on specific types of aid in individual countries (Berman et al, 2011;Child, 2018;Crost et al, 2016;Sexton, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Aid and Conflict at the Subnational Level – Evidence from World Bank and Chinese Development Projects in Africa

2018

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Using geo-referenced data on development projects by the World Bank and China, we provide a comprehensive analysis of the effect of aid on conflict using fixed effects and instrumental variables strategies. The results show that aid projects seem to reduce rather than fuel conflict, on average. Our analysis suggests that this is driven by projects in the transport and financial sectors, and through less lethal violence by governments against civilians. There are no clear differences based on ethnic fractionalization and government affiliation of a region, but some indications of spill-overs to other regions. We also find no increased likelihood of demonstrations, strikes or riots, but a higher likelihood of non-lethal government repression in areas where China is active.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Aid and Conflict at the Subnational Level – Evidence from World Bank and Chinese Development Projects in Africa

2018

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“…For instance, the effects documented by Crost, Felter, and Johnston (2014) were concentrated in the early stages before the World Bank program went into operation, which the authors take as suggestive evidence of the use of sabotage to prevent municipalities from successfully implementing a program. Child (2018) examined development aid and reconstruction programs in 398 districts in Afghanistan between 2005 and 2009 and found that aid projects in education led to greater conflict but that health interventions were associated with a reduction in violence. He suggested that the differential impact arises because the Taliban saw education projects as a bigger threat, given the capacity to indoctrinate.…”

Section: Development Assistance and Conflict Violencementioning

confidence: 99%

Violence without Borders: The Internationalization of Crime and Conflict

2020

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This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.

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“…Results from this reflection were published in 2018 in a joint report by the Department of State, the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) and the Department of Defense (DoD). 11 The report found that the performance of U.S. stabilization efforts was consistently limited by the lack of strategic clarity, organizational discipline, and unity of effort. The review cautioned against future overambitious large-scale reconstruction efforts and suggest that the US should be more selective and targeted in its stabilization missions.…”

Section: Reference To Stabilizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mapping implementation research on nutrition-specific interventions in India

Tripathi¹,

Sengupta²,

Das³

et al. 2020

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The impact of development aid on organised violence A systematic assessment August 2020 About 3ie The International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie) promotes evidence-informed equitable, inclusive and sustainable development. We support the generation and effective use of high-quality evidence to inform decision-making and improve the lives of people living in poverty in low-and middle-income countries. We provide guidance and support to produce, synthesise and quality assure evidence of what works, for whom, how, why and at what cost. 3ie working papers These papers cover a range of content. They may focus on current issues, debates and enduring challenges facing development policymakers, programme managers, practitioners and the impact evaluation and systematic review communities. Policyrelevant papers in this series synthesise or draw on relevant findings from mixed-method impact evaluations, systematic reviews funded by 3ie, as well as other rigorous evidence to offer new analyses, findings, insights and recommendations. Papers focusing on methods and technical guides also draw on similar sources to help advance understanding, design and use of rigorous and appropriate evaluations and reviews. We also use this series to publish lessons learned from 3ie grant-making and contributions from 3ie's senior research fellows.

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Conflict and counterinsurgency aid: Drawing sectoral distinctions

Cited by 19 publications

References 15 publications

Aid and Conflict at the Subnational Level – Evidence from World Bank and Chinese Development Projects in Africa

Aid and Conflict at the Subnational Level – Evidence from World Bank and Chinese Development Projects in Africa

Violence without Borders: The Internationalization of Crime and Conflict

Mapping implementation research on nutrition-specific interventions in India

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