2017
DOI: 10.1089/neu.2016.4606
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Comparison of Two Predictive Models for Short-Term Mortality in Patients after Severe Traumatic Brain Injury

Abstract: The Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and the Abbreviated Injury Score of the head region (HAIS) are validated prognostic factors in traumatic brain injury (TBI). The aim of this study was to compare the prognostic performance of an alternative predictive model including motor GCS, pupillary reactivity, age, HAIS, and presence of multi-trauma for short-term mortality with a reference predictive model including motor GCS, pupil reaction, and age (IMPACT core model). A secondary analysis of a prospective epidemiological … Show more

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Cited by 9 publications
(6 citation statements)
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“…Monitoring of pupillary function helps provide insight into secondary insults (e.g., high ICP), as sustained or new-onset pupillary abnormalities are associated with worse outcome [8]. Pupillary light reactivity is a known prognostic predictor in patients with TBI [21] and is a validated variable used in both the CRASH (Corticosteroid Randomization after Significant Head Injury) and the IMPACT (International Mission of Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials) prognostic models [9]. Somewhat surprisingly, previous studies and both the CRASH and IMPACT models are based on the standard manual qualitative pupillary examination, and there are only limited data regarding the potential value of quantitative pupillometry in the monitoring of TBI complications and outcome.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Monitoring of pupillary function helps provide insight into secondary insults (e.g., high ICP), as sustained or new-onset pupillary abnormalities are associated with worse outcome [8]. Pupillary light reactivity is a known prognostic predictor in patients with TBI [21] and is a validated variable used in both the CRASH (Corticosteroid Randomization after Significant Head Injury) and the IMPACT (International Mission of Prognosis and Analysis of Clinical Trials) prognostic models [9]. Somewhat surprisingly, previous studies and both the CRASH and IMPACT models are based on the standard manual qualitative pupillary examination, and there are only limited data regarding the potential value of quantitative pupillometry in the monitoring of TBI complications and outcome.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A large epidemiological cohort multi-center study compared the predictive performance of such an extended predictive model, including M-GSC, pupil reaction, age, HAIS, and the presence of multiple trauma, for short term mortality against a reference predictive model, including M-GCS, pupil reaction and age (IMPACT core model). This study, which included 808 severe adult TBI, observed that the extended predictive model had a statistically significant higher predictive performance [54].…”
Section: Prehospital and Emergency Carementioning
confidence: 99%
“…While it is important to estimate the influence of each risk factor individually, one has to bear in mind that about 75% of an elderly TBI cohort did not have an isolated TBI [25] and many have comorbidities [10,24]. A combination of different risk factors such as age (including frailty (60) and nursing home residency), GCS, abbreviated injury score of head (AIS head), and cranial CT scoring might predict with high discrimination and high calibration certain outcomes such as mortality, posttraumatic complications, and disability [61,62]. Further research is needed to elucidate whether specific biomarkers might improve prediction after TBI in general and, particularly, in older TBI patients [63][64][65].…”
Section: In-hospital Acute Care Managementmentioning
confidence: 99%