Cohort Fertility Trends and Religion Affiliation in Latin America: a Glimpse Through Time

Lima, Everton Emanuel Campos de; Silva, José Henrique Costa Monteiro da; Skirbekk, Vegard

doi:10.1163/2589742x-00602004

Cited by 1 publication

(2 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…Extended abstract submitted to Annual Meeting In fact, when it comes to fertility, the Bolsonaro electorate is divided in From one side, there are the Pentecostal religious groups with traditional and conservative beliefs that generally translate in higher fertility levels (Lima et al 2019). But, on the other side, there are also these elite business oriented people from high socioeconomic status, and these generally have lower fertility.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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2018 Presidential Elections and fertility variations across regions in Brazil

Lima¹,

Silva²

2020

Preprint

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In this work, we analyzed the spatial distribution of fertility levels in 558 microregions of Brazil and correlated it with vote outcomes from the last presidential election of 2018, controlling for important confounding variables. Applying spatial regression models, to the contrary of expected, we see that votes in Bolsonaro did not associate positively with fertility levels. In fact, in regions where its political adversary won, the Brazilian Labour Party (PT), the fertility levels are on average higher than the ones where Bolsonaro had electoral success. However, we would expect that these results will be different, due to the fact that Bolsonaro represents conservatism and traditional family values, which in turn resumes in desires for more children. In line with McDonald’s gender equity theory, we argue that votes in Bolsonaro may actually indicate other facets of reproduction, like an electorate with defending lesser gender equity in family institutions and that also configures in smaller TFR as consequence.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…From one side, there are the Pentecostal religious groups with traditional and conservative beliefs that generally translate in higher fertility levels (Lima et al 2019). But, on the other side, there are oriented people from high socioeconomic status, and these generally have lower fertility.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%