Cognitive Neural Network Foresight to Forecast Scientific and Technological Development of the State

Simulation of Systems for Monitoring, Analysis and Forecasting of the Priority Directions of Science and Technology

“…Currently, Foresight includes methods relating to different areas of science: sociology, mathematics, statistics, etc. There are four key categories of Foresight methods [4][5][6][7][8][9]:…”

Neuro-fuzzy Methods in Cognitive Systems of Monitoring and Forecasting of Scientific and Technological Development of the Country

“…In the framework of the study the results of expert seminars, as well as the remote expert evaluation (a special kind of research, in which experts do not get together, each of them is interviewed remotely, and the collective opinion is produced by special integration of opinions) have been used (Gorbachev S. V., 2012). The participants of the expert interviews and workshops were asked questions regarding the indicators that could be significant in the analysis of the transition to the 6th technological cycle and development of the model of changing of technological cycles.…”

“…The participants of the expert interviews and workshops were asked questions regarding the indicators that could be significant in the analysis of the transition to the 6th technological cycle and development of the model of changing of technological cycles. As a result, the main groups of indicators of monitoring and analyzing trends that allow to assess the dynamics and directions shaping the new technological cycle (such as macroeconomic, geographical, natural and climatic, historical, innovative, including research and development) were identified (Syryamkin V. I., 2012). For modeling of the trajectory of the engineering-and-economical development the group of investigated parameters was supplemented with the qualitative component of growth -productivity index of primary resources, which is measured as the ratio of GDP to the cost of consumed by the economy raw materials (Uzyakov M. N., 2004).…”

“…The automated system includes 2 levels, interconnected by means of analysis and forecast. This methodological approach contributes to the foresight studies (Gorbachev S. V., 2012).…”

Training of Specialists in Information and Measurement Instrumentation in the Competence Discourse

“…In the context of the above key points, the informational and measurement field is being regarded as both a part of a general education environment and an autonomic system designed to form an active social and creative personal position that would incorporate the latest informational tools, instruments and technologies [7]. The informational context of education is based upon the whole spectrum of disciplines and subjects and the interactive support factors that are used in the training process.…”