Climate Shocks, State Capacity and Peasant Uprisings in North China during 25–1911 <scp>ce</scp>

Chen, Qiang

doi:10.1111/ecca.12114

Cited by 27 publications

(22 citation statements)

References 48 publications

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“…5 Chen (2014) shows that dynastic age was positively correlated with peasant uprisings in north China during 25-1911 CE, which is consistent with the dynastic cycle hypothesis. 6 I thank an anonymous referee for this suggestion.…”

Section: Dynastic Cyclessupporting

confidence: 76%

Climate shocks, dynastic cycles and nomadic conquests: evidence from historical China

Chen

2014

Oxford Economic Papers

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Nomadic conquests have helped shape world history, yet we know little about why they occurred. Using a unique climate and dynastic data set from historical China dating from 221 BCE, this study finds that the likelihood of nomadic conquest increases with less rainfall proxied by drought disasters, which drove pastoral nomads to attack agrarian Chinese for survival. Moreover, consistent with the dynastic cycle hypothesis, the likelihood of China being conquered increases with the number of years earlier that a Chinese dynasty had been established (and hence was weaker, on average) relative to a rival nomadic regime. These results survive a variety of robustness checks.

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Section: Dynastic Cyclessupporting

confidence: 76%

Climate shocks, dynastic cycles and nomadic conquests: evidence from historical China

Chen

2014

Oxford Economic Papers

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“…This study further models to investigate innovative responses to climate disasters in historical China. According to Chen's [8,9] work, he uses time series data from 11 A.D.…”

Section: The Study Selects the Generalized Methods Of Moments (Gmm) Tmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…to 1910 A.D. and defines each decade as an observation. This study gets 190 observations as time-series data and uses the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) to investigate innovative responses to climate disasters in historical China [8,9]. It finds that climate disasters which occurred in a given decade have had a positive impact on disaster-mitigating innovations in the next decade in historical China.…”

Section: The Study Selects the Generalized Methods Of Moments (Gmm) Tmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Disaster-mitigating and general innovative responses to climate disasters: Evidence from modern and historical China

Lei

et al. 2018

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction

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In studies on the effects of climate disasters, positive aspects are often overlooked. However it is important to accurately estimate the long-run impact of these disasters. This study presents the first attempt to investigate the innovative response to climate disasters in modern and historical China. For modern China, using panel data of up to 31 provinces from 2005 to 2013 and the Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) technique, this study suggests that past climate disasters have led to an increase in the number of disaster-mitigating patents. These patents also boost innovations in other fields, which indicate that there exists a spillover effect in technological progress. The 2 paper further investigates five major province groups in modern China and finds that disaster-mitigating patents not only respond to local disasters but serve as feedback to disasters occurring in neighboring provinces as well. Additionally, this study creatively uses the time-series data from 11 A.D. to 1910 A.D. to analyze the historical case with the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results show that climate disasters only spurred innovations in disaster mitigation fields and not in others, meaning that innovation spillovers did not exist in historical China. This study provides practical implications for policymakers and governments. They should introduce incentives to encourage and increase investment in research and technological development sectors after climate disasters.

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“…to 1994 using stalagmite layer thickness from Shihua Cave near Beijing. Chen (2014Chen ( , 2015 uses this same source when examining how climate affected peasant uprisings and nomadic incursions into China. Büntgen et al (2011) use tree rings form various locations to measure temperature anomalies during the summer months in Central Europe from 500 BCE to present day, also at an annual frequency.…”

Section: Explanationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Imperial Synchronicity in Eurasia: 300 Bce to 1500 Ce

Sylwester¹,

University-Carbondale²

2019

EJEF

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Chinese history shows cycles of unification and fracture. In western Eurasia, some empires would also temporarily gain hegemony. Were the occurrences of large polities in these two halves of Eurasia related? This paper examines whether the size of the largest empire in western Eurasia is correlated with the size of the contemporary Chinese dynasty. This paper finds a positive association between these two. This suggests that what happened in China could have influenced western Eurasian polities. Further analysis suggests that economic integration could have partly explained this synchronicity.

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Climate Shocks, State Capacity and Peasant Uprisings in North China during 25–1911 ce

Cited by 27 publications

References 48 publications

Climate shocks, dynastic cycles and nomadic conquests: evidence from historical China

Climate shocks, dynastic cycles and nomadic conquests: evidence from historical China

Disaster-mitigating and general innovative responses to climate disasters: Evidence from modern and historical China

Imperial Synchronicity in Eurasia: 300 Bce to 1500 Ce

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