Climate impacts on European agriculture and water management in the context of adaptation and mitigation—The importance of an integrated approach

Falloon, Pete; Betts, Richard

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2009.05.002

Cited by 342 publications

(197 citation statements)

References 144 publications

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“…Future climate change in the study region is likely to alter the water balances due to both air warming and precipitation patterns. Land management planning must consider the influences of spatial climate variability and long-term climate change on water yield and other potential environmental impacts (Falloon and Betts, 2010;Wattenbach et al, 2007). Quantifying the hydrologic response at the regional scale is an essential step toward developing a sustainable ecological restoration programme in the Loess Plateau region.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional effects of vegetation restoration on water yield across the Loess Plateau, China

Feng

Sun

et al. 2012

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

186

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Abstract. The general relationships between vegetation and water yield under different climatic regimes are well established at a small watershed scale in the past century. However, applications of these basic theories to evaluate the regional effects of land cover change on water resources remain challenging due to the complex interactions of vegetation and climatic variability and hydrologic processes at the large scale. The objective of this study was to explore ways to examine the spatial and temporal effects of a large ecological restoration project on water yield across the Loess Plateau region in northern China. We estimated annual water yield as the difference between precipitation input and modelled actual evapotranspiration (ET) output. We constructed a monthly ET model using published ET data derived from eddy flux measurements and watershed streamflow data. We validated the ET models at a watershed and regional levels. The model was then applied to examine regional water yield under land cover change and climatic variability during the implementation of the Grain-for-Green (GFG) project during 1999-2007. We found that water yield in 38 % of the Loess Plateau area might have decreased (1-48 mm per year) as a result of land cover change alone. However, combined with climatic variability, 37 % of the study area might have seen a decrease in water yield with a range of 1-54 mm per year, and 35 % of the study area might have seen an increase with a range of 1-10 mm per year. Across the study region, climate variability masked or strengthened the water yield response to vegetation restoration. The absolute annual water yield change due to vegetation restoration varied with precipitation regimes with the highest in wet years, but the relative water yield changes were most pronounced in dry years. We concluded that the effects of land cover change associated with ecological restoration varied greatly over time and space and were strongly influenced by climatic variability in the arid region. The current regional vegetation restoration projects have variable effects on local water resources across the region. Land management planning must consider the influences of spatial climate variability and long-term climate change on water yield to be more effective for achieving environmental sustainability.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional effects of vegetation restoration on water yield across the Loess Plateau, China

Feng

Sun

et al. 2012

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci.

186

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“…In comparison with the widely applied GIS-based tool for spatial ecosystem services trade-off mapping analysis, integrated modeling approach can deal with some shortcomings raised above, which not only allows for a spatially explicit quantification of the ecosystem services changes over time and space , but also can link disciplinary data and models to clarify complex interactions between the human society and the ecosystems (Falloon and Betts, 2010;Laniak et al, 2013). Recently, the integrated modeling approach has been widely applied in the assessment of trade-offs in ecosystem services (Nelson et al, 2009;Polasky et al, 2011;Willemen et al, 2012).…”

Section: Integrated Modeling For Trade-off Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

A review on trade-off analysis of ecosystem services for sustainable land-use management

2016

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Ecosystem services are substantial elements for human society. The central challenge to meet the human needs from ecosystems while sustain the Earth's life support systems makes it urgent to enhance efficient natural resource management for sustainable ecological and socioeconomic development. Trade-off analysis of ecosystem services can help to identify optimal decision points to balance the costs and benefits of the diverse human uses of ecosystems. In this sense, the aim of this paper is to provide key insights into ecosystem services trade-off analysis at different scales from a land use perspective, by comprehensively reviewing the trade-offs analysis tools and approaches that addressed in ecology, economics and other fields. The review will significantly contribute to future research on trade-off analysis to avoid inferior management options and offer a win-win solution based on comprehensive and efficient planning for interacting multiple ecosystem services.

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“…Undoubtedly, supplemental irrigation is an effective way to maintain or increase sunflower yield (and oil concentration) in dry conditions (Rinaldi, 2001;Göksoy et al, 2004;Demir et al, 2006;Champolivier et al, 2011;Klocke et al, 2013) but future water resources could be limited because of competition among users especially in the Mediterranean area (Falloon and Betts, 2010). More water in winter could however be stored (dams, lakes, etc.)…”

Section: Adaptation Of Cultural Practicesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Sunflower crop and climate change: vulnerability, adaptation, and mitigation potential from case-studies in Europe

Debaeke¹,

Casadebaig²,

Flénet

et al. 2017

OCL

108

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-Climate change is characterized by higher temperatures, elevated atmospheric CO 2 concentrations, extreme climatic hazards, and less water available for agriculture. Sunflower, a springsown crop often cultivated in southern and eastern regions of Europe, could be more vulnerable to the direct effect of heat stress at anthesis and drought during its growing cycle, both factors resulting in severe yield loss, oil content decrease, and fatty acid alterations. Adaptations through breeding (earliness, stress tolerance), crop management (planting dates), and shifting of growing areas could be developed, assessed and combined to partly cope with these negative impacts. New cultivation opportunities could be expected in northern parts of Europe where sunflower is not grown presently and where it could usefully contribute to diversify cereal-based cropping systems. In addition, sunflower crop could participate to the mitigation solution as a low greenhouse gas emitter compared to cereals and oilseed rape. Sunflower crop models should be revised to account for these emerging environmental factors in order to reduce the uncertainties in yield and oil predictions. The future of sunflower in Europe is probably related to its potential adaptation to climate change but also to its competitiveness and attractiveness for food and energy.Keywords: CO 2 / temperature / crop model / biotic stress / water deficit Résumé -Culture du tournesol et changement climatique : vulnérabilité, adaptation et potentiel d'atténuation via des études de cas en Europe. Le changement climatique se caractérise par des températures élevées, de plus fortes concentrations atmosphériques en CO 2 , des risques climatiques extrêmes et moins d'eau disponible pour l'agriculture. Le tournesol, culture semée au printemps dans le sud et l'est de l'Europe, pourrait être plus exposé à l'avenir aux fortes températures et à un déficit hydrique marqué dès la floraison, avec pour conséquences des pertes de rendement, une diminution de la teneur en huile et une altération de la composition en acides gras. Des adaptations sont possibles à court et moyen terme par la sélection (précocité, tolérance aux stress), la conduite de culture (date de semis) et le déplacement des zones de production, permettant de faire face en partie aux impacts négatifs attendus. Ainsi le tournesol pourrait être cultivé plus au nord participant utilement à la nécessaire diversification des bassins céréaliers. En outre, la culture de tournesol étant faiblement émettrice de gaz à effet de serre par rapport aux céréales ou au colza pourrait contribuer davantage à la solution climatique apportée par l'agriculture. Les modèles de culture devraient être revus pour mieux tenir compte de ces facteurs environnementaux émergents si l'on veut réduire les incertitudes dans les prédictions de rendement et de teneur en huile. L'avenir du tournesol en Europe est probablement lié à son potentiel d'adaptation au changement climatique, mais dépendra aussi de sa compétitivité et de son attractivité en t...

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Climate impacts on European agriculture and water management in the context of adaptation and mitigation—The importance of an integrated approach

Cited by 342 publications

References 144 publications

Regional effects of vegetation restoration on water yield across the Loess Plateau, China

Regional effects of vegetation restoration on water yield across the Loess Plateau, China

A review on trade-off analysis of ecosystem services for sustainable land-use management

Sunflower crop and climate change: vulnerability, adaptation, and mitigation potential from case-studies in Europe

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