Climate, Crime, and Suicide: Empirical Evidence From Japan

Takahashi, Ryo

doi:10.1142/s2010007817500038

Cited by 16 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 46 publications

(46 reference statements)

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“…Using a 30-year panel of criminal activity in USA, Ranson (2014) found a strong positive effect of increasing temperature on nine major categories of crime. A similar study from Japan revealed that aggressive behavior such as suicides increased as the average temperature increased (Takahashi, 2017). Ceccato (2005) found that homicides increased in Sao Paulo, Brazil, with higher temperatures, and Goin, Rudolph and Ahern (2017) showed that a Californian drought had criminogenic effects.…”

Section: Background and Expectationsmentioning

confidence: 93%

Blowing in the wind? The effect of weather on the intensity and spatial distribution of crime

Hart¹,

Pedersen²,

Skarðhamar³

2019

Preprint

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Despite an extensive literature on weather and crime, the magnitude of weather effects on crime and their implications for practical policing remain unclear. Similarly, the effects of weather on the location of crime have barely been explored empirically. We investigated how weather influences the intensity and spatial distribution of crime in Oslo, the capital of Norway. Geocoded locations of criminal offences were combined with data on temperature, wind, and rain. We used negative binomial count models to assess the effect of weather on the intensity of crime and generalized additive models (GAMs) to test for spatial variations. The intensity and spatial distribution of crime were not very sensitive to weather in Oslo. The largest effect was for drug crimes, for which maximum relative to minimum temperature was related to a single incident increase every six days. No effects were found for dislocation in the spatial models. In Oslo, Norway, weather conditions are of little importance for practical policing. The effects of weather on the intensity of crime are miniscule, and effects on the location of crime even smaller.

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Section: Background and Expectationsmentioning

confidence: 93%

Blowing in the wind? The effect of weather on the intensity and spatial distribution of crime

Hart¹,

Pedersen²,

Skarðhamar³

2019

Preprint

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“…Our paper contributes primarily to the growing literature on the nexus between climate change, weather, and conflict (see Burke et al, 2009Burke et al, , 2015Dell et al, 2014;Gleditsch, 2012;Hendrix and Salehyan, 2012;Hsiang et al, 2013;Miguel, 2005;Takahashi 2017). The overall picture that has emerged from this literature is that higher temperatures increase the probability of interpersonal violence, intergroup conflict, and criminal behavior.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Weather and Crime—Cautious evidence from South Africa

Ankel-Peters

Bruederle

Roberts

2022

Q Open

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South Africa has one of the highest crime rates in the world. This paper examines the effect of weather shocks on various types of crime. Using a 12-year panel data set at monthly resolution on the police ward level, we observe a short-term effect of temperatures on violent crime. Furthermore, we find evidence for medium-term effect of weather on crime via droughts. Yet, effect sizes are subtle in both cases and we also emphasize often neglected but well-documented limitations to the interpretability of weather data and weather-induced mechanisms. Recognizing these limitations, we conclude with a cautious interpretation of our findings to inform police deployment strategies.

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“…Research in criminology has identified a correlation between crime rates and temperatures worldwide, including countries such as China, Japan, the United States, India, and Australia (e.g., Blakeslee & Fishman, 2018;Hu, Chen, Huang, Sun & Li, 2017;Hu, Wu, Chen, Sun, & Li, 2017;Mares, 2013;Rotton & Cohn, 2003;Schinasi & Hamra, 2017;Sommer, Lee, & Bind, 2018;Stevens, Beggs, Graham, & Chang, 2019;Takahashi, 2017;Tiihonen, Halonen, Tiihonen, Kautiainen, Storvik, & Callaway, 2017). Most of these studies examined financial and violent crimes.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Heat and fraud: Evaluating how room temperature influences fraud likelihood

Liu¹,

Yang²,

Yamada³

2020

Preprint

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Despite the considerable amount of research devoted to understanding fraud, few studies have examined how the physical environment can influence the likelihood of committing fraud. One recent study found a link between room brightness and occurrence of human fraud behaviors. Therefore, the present study aims to investigate how temperature may affect fraud. Based on a power analysis using the effect size observed in a pilot study, we recruited 105 participants and randomly divided them into three temperature groups (warm, medium, and cool). We then counted fraud behaviors in each group and tested for potential significant differences with a Kruskal-Wallis test. Additionally, we used a correlation analysis to determine whether the perceived temperature affected fraud. As a result, regardless of participants’ subjective sensory experience or their physical environment, we did not find that temperature-related factors influence the incidence of fraud. We discussed the potential reason for the results, and suggested directions for future research.

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Climate, Crime, and Suicide: Empirical Evidence From Japan

Cited by 16 publications

References 46 publications

Blowing in the wind? The effect of weather on the intensity and spatial distribution of crime

Blowing in the wind? The effect of weather on the intensity and spatial distribution of crime

Weather and Crime—Cautious evidence from South Africa

Heat and fraud: Evaluating how room temperature influences fraud likelihood

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