Climate change scenarios for temperature and precipitation in Aragón (Spain)

Ribalaygua, Jaime; Pino, M. Rosa; Pórtoles, Javier; Roldán, Esther; Gaitán, Emma; Chinarro, David; Torres, Luis G.

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.06.089

Cited by 40 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 51 publications

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“…SRES scenarios A1B, A2, and B1 were chosen for this study [75,76]. A1B is under the A1 storyline and scenario family, which emphasizes globalization.…”

Section: Climate Change Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment on Hydrologic Response by Climate Change in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand

Ligaray

Kim²,

Sthiannopkao

et al. 2015

Water

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Abstract:The Chao Phraya River in Thailand has been greatly affected by climate change and the occurrence of extreme flood events, hindering its economic development. This study assessed the hydrological responses of the Chao Phraya River basin under several climate sensitivity and greenhouse gas emission scenarios. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was applied to simulate the streamflow using meteorological and observed data over a nine-year period from 2003 to 2011. The SWAT model produced an acceptable performance for calibration and validation, yielding Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) values greater than 0.5. Precipitation scenarios yielded streamflow variations that corresponded to the change of rainfall intensity and amount of rainfall, while scenarios with increased air temperatures predicted future water shortages. High CO2 concentration scenarios incorporated plant responses that led to a dramatic increase in streamflow. The greenhouse gas emission scenarios increased the streamflow variations to 6.8%, 41.9%, and 38.4% from the reference period (2003)(2004)(2005)(2006)(2007)(2008)(2009)(2010)(2011). This study also provided a framework upon which the peak flow can be managed to control the nonpoint sources during wet season. We hope that the future climate scenarios presented in this study could provide predictive information for the river basin.

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“…SRES scenarios A1B, A2, and B1 were chosen for this study [75,76]. A1B is under the A1 storyline and scenario family, which emphasizes globalization.…”

Section: Climate Change Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessment on Hydrologic Response by Climate Change in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand

Ligaray

Kim²,

Sthiannopkao

et al. 2015

Water

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“…This fact has caused several environmental disasters and catastrophes, with great financial liabilities in different regions worldwide [1] [2] [3]. Studies on spatial and temporal changes with regard to climatic and environmental information provided in-depth understanding on the variability of the Earth's atmospheric phenomena, mainly due to disordered population increase and to human intervention on the environment, with the climate highly affected by the processes involved [4] [5] [6].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Characterization of the Machado-Mg Region through Geotechnology Techniques and Tools

Rodrigues¹,

Silva²,

Oliveira³

et al. 2018

AJCC

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The characteristics of a region and its environmental changes are directly associated with the characteristics of the climate and the changes that occur in it. The importance of the study of the climate of a region is widely known in agriculture, by the size of the impact that the climate has on the productivity and final quality of the products. From the studies of these spatial and temporal changes in climatic and environmental information, excellent results have been obtained in understanding the variability of atmospheric phenomena that occur throughout. The objective of the present work was to perform the climatic characterization of the Machado-MG region, analyzing data collected on the elements of the climate, applying methodologies that allow its spatialization, from geotechnology tools, more precisely, the techniques of interpolation and manipulation of spatial data in the Geographic Information Systems (GIS) environment. For this purpose, it has been used the climatic data obtained from meteorological stations of the National Institute of Meteorology-INMET, located in the state of Minas Gerais, referring to the monthly and annual averages of a historical series of 55 years . The results obtained allowed to characterize the climate of the municipality, which presented an average temperature around 15˚C to 25˚C and with average rainfall between 100 -200 mm in the rainiest periods. The relative humidity of the air presents throughout the year values in the average of 60% to 80%. From the spatialization maps of temperature, precipitation and relative humidity of the air, it becomes possible to analyze the spatial behavior of the climatic elements and thus to have the perception of the climate dynamics in the region.

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“…Expected and (partly) realized changes in temperature and precipitation (Morrison et al 2002, Tripathi et al 2006, Ribalaygua et al 2013, Quirmbach et al 2012, Kyselý et al 2012 as well as the response of ecosystems to projected changes in climatic parameters and atmospheric composition, have been studied thoroughly (Karnosky 2003, Senatore et al 2012, Yang et al 2012, Dibike et al 2012. According to these studies, changes in precipitation or temperature or both would have consequences on evapotranspiration conditions and the water budget.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Role of forest cover, land use change and climate change on water resources in Marmara basin of Turkey

Pamukçu¹,

Serengil²,

Yurtseven³

2015

iForest

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© iForest -Biogeosciences and Forestry IntroductionUrbanization is a major driver of land use change and is extensively studied in land use literature, especially in disciplines like landscape ecology and watershed science. Some research focused on certain land use types (Atmis et al. 2007, Shiliang et al. 2014, while others tried to identify their impacts on biodiversity, forests and water (Du et al. 2012, Zapata & Robledano 2014. Impacts on society and natural resources have been frequently emphasized in these studies. Urbanization and associated sprawl cause changes in society and environment and therefore interact with broader issues like climate and water resources.Water is becoming a critical natural resource for Turkey with its fast urbanization trend (Serengil et al. 2012). The increasing population in big cities causes constantly increasing demand of water. New water resources have been identified and pipeline projects have been developed and implemented in the last 20 years. Melen and Istranca projects are examples of expensive long-range, trans-basin projects (ISKI 2013) supposed to meet the water demand of Istanbul for the next 10-15 years. However, threats that may break down this optimistic prevision include: deterioration of reservoirs, increasing per capita water use, variability in precipitation, and increase in evapotranspiration rates due to gradual long-term changes in temperature and precipitation conditions.Forest cover in Turkey has been increasing in the last five decades due to afforestation efforts and abandonment of farmlands in the countryside (NIR Turkey 2013). This increase has hydrological consequences as forests can significantly influence flows and conditions in a watershed (Serengil et al. 2011). Given that groundwater potential of Istanbul is low, the share of surface water resources is at 98% (ISKI 2013). This causes water supply to be strongly dependent on annual precipitation and the prevailing land use. In years of low precipitation, there is always a possibility of gap between supply and demand (deficit) during late summer months.Though not supported by solid scientific evidence, two major problems have often been identified by local authorities towards the sustainable management of water resources of the region, i.e., climate change and land use conversion in watersheds.Climate change is today's most remarkable threat towards the sustainability of natural resources (Delgado et al. 2013). Expected and (partly) realized changes in temperature and precipitation (Morrison et al. 2002, Tripathi et al. 2006, Ribalaygua et al. 2013, Quirmbach et al. 2012, Kyselý et al. 2012 as well as the response of ecosystems to projected changes in climatic parameters and atmospheric composition, have been studied thoroughly (Karnosky 2003, Senatore et al. 2012, Yang et al. 2012, Dibike et al. 2012. According to these studies, changes in precipitation or temperature or both would have consequences on evapotranspiration conditions and the water budget. As reported by Nan et al. (2011), tempera...

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Climate change scenarios for temperature and precipitation in Aragón (Spain)

Cited by 40 publications

References 51 publications

Assessment on Hydrologic Response by Climate Change in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand

Assessment on Hydrologic Response by Climate Change in the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand

Climate Characterization of the Machado-Mg Region through Geotechnology Techniques and Tools

Role of forest cover, land use change and climate change on water resources in Marmara basin of Turkey

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