Climate Change Projections in Latin America and the Caribbean: Review of Existing Regional Climate Models' Outputs

Flores, Ramiro Alberto Ríos; Taddia, Alejandro Pablo; Grunwaldt, Alfred; Jones, R. N.; Streeter, Richard

doi:10.18235/0000375

Cited by 2 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 10 publications

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“…The SRES A1B scenario suggests a 1.8 • C median annual increase in surface temperature in the Caribbean Sea by the end of the 21st century compared to the 1980-1999 baseline. In southern Central America, the projected temperature may increase between 1.6 and 2.0 • C [248], and warming may be accompanied by a 21.42 cm of sea level rise by 2040 on the Caribbean and Central American coast under the RCP6.0 [252]. The CMIP5 indicates a temperature increase of 1.5 and 2 • C accompanied by a rainfall decrease of 5% and 10% for the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 for Mexico, respectively.…”

Section: Future Climate Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

et al. 2020

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The Intra–Americas Seas region is known for its relevance to air–sea interaction processes, the contrast between large water masses and a relatively small continental area, and the occurrence of extreme events. The differing weather systems and the influence of variability at different spatio–temporal scales is a characteristic feature of the region. The impact of hydro–meteorological extreme events has played a huge importance for regional livelihood, having a mostly negative impact on socioeconomics. The frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall events and droughts are often discussed in terms of their impact on economic activities and access to water. Furthermore, future climate projections suggest that warming scenarios are likely to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme events, which poses a major threat to vulnerable communities. In a region where the economy is largely dependent on agriculture and the population is exposed to the impact of extremes, understanding the climate system is key to informed policymaking and management plans. A wealth of knowledge has been published on regional weather and climate, with a majority of studies focusing on specific components of the system. This study aims to provide an integral overview of regional weather and climate suitable for a wider community. Following the presentation of the general features of the region, a large scale is introduced outlining the main structures that affect regional climate. The most relevant climate features are briefly described, focusing on sea surface temperature, low–level circulation, and rainfall patterns. The impact of climate variability at the intra–seasonal, inter–annual, decadal, and multi–decadal scales is discussed. Climate change is considered in the regional context, based on current knowledge for natural and anthropogenic climate change. The present challenges in regional weather and climate studies have also been included in the concluding sections of this review. The overarching aim of this work is to leverage information that may be transferred efficiently to support decision–making processes and provide a solid foundation on regional weather and climate for professionals from different backgrounds.

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Section: Future Climate Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

et al. 2020

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Satellite data use in the WEAP Model as an evaluation of Water Availability in Unda River Basin

Jayantari¹,

Wardoyo²,

Maulana³

2019

IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci.

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Unda river basin is one of the potential river basin in Bali Province of with a perennial river so that water availability is available every year. Even though it has a great potential, the river basin management is not optimal so that during the dry season there is still a lack of water. Water Evaluation and Planning (WEAP) is a model that can combine hydrological processes with management of water allocation in a catchment area. This model can evaluate the water availability in the Unda river basin. WEAP has a tool that is automatic delineation mode that can be used to automatically delineate catchment areas, land cover data and climate data based on satellite data which can make easier to modelling. The results of this study can be used as an evaluation in the water availability in the Unda River Basin so that the potential in the Unda River Basin can be optimal and sustainable.

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Climate Change Projections in Latin America and the Caribbean: Review of Existing Regional Climate Models' Outputs

Cited by 2 publications

References 10 publications

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

Climate Perspectives in the Intra–Americas Seas

Satellite data use in the WEAP Model as an evaluation of Water Availability in Unda River Basin

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