2014
DOI: 10.1111/aab.12107
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Climate change increases risk of fusarium ear blight on wheat in central China

Abstract: To estimate potential impact of climate change on wheat fusarium ear blight, simulated weather for the A1B climate change scenario was imported into a model for estimating fusarium ear blight in central China. In this work, a logistic weather-based regression model for estimating incidence of wheat fusarium ear blight in central China was developed, using up to 10 years (2001-2010) of disease, anthesis date and weather data available for 10 locations in Anhui and Hubei provinces. In the model, the weather vari… Show more

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Cited by 59 publications
(37 citation statements)
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“…The disease is expanding rapidly in many regions. A good example is China, where the epidemic area has expanded to major wheat production regions, including the Yellow and Huai River valley wheat zones and the northern winter wheat zone, because of the lack of resistant cultivars and an increase in acreage with no-tillage cultivation and maize-wheat rotation (116). Early FHB infections around anthesis often cause floret sterility or poor grain filling, leading to higher yield losses, whereas later infections could have low yield impacts but may lead to high DON content (12).…”
Section: Fusarium Head Blightmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The disease is expanding rapidly in many regions. A good example is China, where the epidemic area has expanded to major wheat production regions, including the Yellow and Huai River valley wheat zones and the northern winter wheat zone, because of the lack of resistant cultivars and an increase in acreage with no-tillage cultivation and maize-wheat rotation (116). Early FHB infections around anthesis often cause floret sterility or poor grain filling, leading to higher yield losses, whereas later infections could have low yield impacts but may lead to high DON content (12).…”
Section: Fusarium Head Blightmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…With increase in global warming, particularly with rising of minimum winter temperatures (Ziska 2014) and heavier rainfall during the anthesis period, the disease has been considerably expanding worldwide (Chakraborty and Newton 2011), severely affecting various provinces throughout China (Lu and Chen 2012;Zhang et al 2014), North American (Ward et al 2008) and European (Miraglia et al 2009) countries, as well as the Southern Cone region of South America (Kohli and Díaz de Ackermann 2013).…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The estimation of incidence of wheat FHB in central China was evaluated by developing a logistic weather-based regression model, using up to 10 years (2001-2010) of disease, anthesis date, and weather data available for 10 locations in Anhui and Hubei provinces. How climate change may affect wheat anthesis date and FHB in central China was estimated for the period 2020-2050 using the wheat growth model Sirius and simulated weather data obtained employing the regional climate modelling system PRECIS [77]. The study suggested that climate change will increase the risk of serious FHB epidemics on winter wheat in central China by the middle of this century, as also predicted for the UK by Madgwick et al [76].…”
Section: Impact Of Climate Change On the Fusarium Species Profile Assmentioning
confidence: 77%
“…A relevant study outside Europe was carried out by Zhang et al [77] and investigated the impacts on FHB on wheat in China due to climate change. The estimation of incidence of wheat FHB in central China was evaluated by developing a logistic weather-based regression model, using up to 10 years (2001-2010) of disease, anthesis date, and weather data available for 10 locations in Anhui and Hubei provinces.…”
Section: Impact Of Climate Change On the Fusarium Species Profile Assmentioning
confidence: 99%
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