Climate change and the new world economy: Implications for the nature and timing of policy responses

Sheehan, Peter; Jones, Roger; Jolley, Ainsley; Preston, Benjamin L.; Clarke, Matthew; Durack, Paul J.; Islam, Sardar M. N.; Whetton, Penny

doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.04.008

Cited by 26 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 61 publications

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“…The multi-decadal trend in the third factor suggests that allowable emissions to reach a given stabilization target may be lower than previously expected. While forecasts of global economic development are inherently uncertain, a continuation of the economic growth path observed from 2000-2007 would lead to further acceleration of CO 2 emissions growth in the absence of stringent mitigation policies (Sheehan et al 2008).…”

Section: Climate Stabilizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

Füssel

2009

Climatic Change

126

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The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) published in 2007 presents the most complete and authoritative assessment of the status of scientific knowledge on all aspects of climate change. This paper presents an updated assessment of the risks from anthropogenic climate change, based on a comprehensive review of the pertinent scientific literature published since finalization of the AR4. Many risks are now assessed as stronger than in the AR4, including the risk of large sea-level rise already in the current century, the amplification of global warming due to biological and geological carbon-cycle feedbacks, a large magnitude of "committed warming" currently concealed by a strong aerosol mask, substantial increases in climate variability and extreme weather events, and the risks to marine ecosystems from climate change and ocean acidification. Some topics remain the subject of intense scientific debate, such as past and future changes in tropical cyclone activity and the risk of large-scale Amazon forest dieback. The rise in greenhouse gas emissions and concentrations has accelerated recently, and it is expected to accelerate further in the absence of targeted policy interventions. Taken together, these findings point to an increased urgency of implementing mitigation policies as well as comprehensive and equitable adaptation policies.

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Section: Climate Stabilizationmentioning

confidence: 99%

An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

Füssel

2009

Climatic Change

126

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

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“…To date however, no global climate policy agreement exists between the major CO 2 -emitting countries that will ensure atmospheric CO 2 concentrations stabilise below 450 ppm (Garnaut 2008), although a 2°C warming target was adopted at the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change 15th Council of Parties meeting in Copenhagen in late 2009. Achieving this target would most likely require an overshoot trajectory for greenhouse gases peaking at above 450 ppm CO 2 -equivalent with subsequent reductions to an undetermined goal (Sheehan et al 2008). Yet, some researchers still consider the achievement of 450 ppm CO 2 technically achievable (e.g., van Vuuren et al 2007).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Safeguarding coastal coral communities on the central Great Barrier Reef (Australia) against climate change: realizable local and global actions

et al. 2011

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The threats of wide-scale coral bleaching and reef demise associated with anthropogenic (global) climate change are widely known. Less well considered is the contributing role of conditions local to the reef, in particular reef water quality, in codetermining the physiological tolerance of corals to increasing sea temperatures and declining pH. Here, the modelled benefit of reduced exposure to dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) in terrestrial runoff, which raises the thermal tolerance of coastal coral communities on the central Great Barrier Reef (Australia), is considered alongside alternative future warming scenarios. The simulations highlight that an 80% reduction in DIN 'buys' an additional~50-60 years of reef-building capacity for No Mitigation ('business-as-usual') bleaching projections. Moreover, the integrated management benefits provided by: (i) local reductions of~50% in DIN contained in river loads, and (ii) global stabilisation of atmospheric CO 2 below 450 ppm can help ensure the persistence of hardcoral-dominated reefscapes beyond 2100. The simulations reinforce the message that Climatic Change (2012) 112:945-961 beyond the global imperative to mitigate future atmospheric CO 2 emissions there still remains the need for effective local management actions that enhance the resistance and resilience of coral reef communities to the impacts of climate change.

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“…On the one hand, it is necessary to anticipate future developments, which are (highly) uncertain. On the other hand, there are strong pressures to give priority to economic interests in the short term (Sheehan et al, 2008). A further complication is the different timeframes of physical, economic, and political processes, which are difficult to align and easily result in temporal mismatches (Cumming et al, 2006).…”

Section: Specific Feature Four: the Long-term Horizonmentioning

confidence: 99%

Governance Arrangements for Adaptation to Climate Change

Termeer¹,

Buuren²,

Dewulf³

et al. 2017

Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Climate Science

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Adaptation to climate change is not only a technical issue; above all, it is a matter of governance. Governance is more than government and includes the totality of interactions in which public as well as private actors participate, aiming to solve societal problems. Adaptation governance poses some specific, demanding challenges, such as the context of institutional fragmentation, as climate change involves almost all policy domains and governance levels; the persistent uncertainties about the nature and scale of risks and proposed solutions; and the need to make short-term policies based on long-term projections. Furthermore, adaptation is an emerging policy field with, at least for the time being, only weakly defined ambitions, responsibilities, procedures, routines, and solutions. Many scholars have already shown that complex problems, such as adaptation to climate change, cannot be solved in a straightforward way with actions taken by a hierarchic or monocentric form of governance. This raises the question of how to develop governance arrangements that contribute to realizing adaptation options and increasing the adaptive capacity of society. A series of seven basic elements have to be addressed in designing climate adaptation governance arrangements: the framing of the problem, the level(s) at which to act, the alignment across sectoral boundaries, the timing of the policies, the selection of policy instruments, the organization of the science-policy interface, and the most appropriate form of leadership. For each of these elements, this chapter suggests some tentative design principles. In addition to effectiveness and legitimacy, resilience is an important criterion for evaluating these arrangements. The development of governance arrangements is always context- and time-specific, and constrained by the formal and informal rules of existing institutions.

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Climate change and the new world economy: Implications for the nature and timing of policy responses

Cited by 26 publications

References 61 publications

An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

An updated assessment of the risks from climate change based on research published since the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report

Safeguarding coastal coral communities on the central Great Barrier Reef (Australia) against climate change: realizable local and global actions

Governance Arrangements for Adaptation to Climate Change

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