Climate change and health in Iran: a narrative review

Mousavi, Arefeh; Ardalan, Ali; Takian, Amirhossein; Ostadtaghizadeh, Abbas; Naddafi, Kazem; Bavani, Alireza Massah

doi:10.1007/s40201-020-00462-3

Cited by 50 publications

(35 citation statements)

References 56 publications

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“…Recent findings highlighted that many amphibians, including salamanders, may face threats as a result of future climatic and landscape change [103][104][105][106][107][108][109][110][111][112][113][114]. Based on modelling results, most of Iran will be exposed to drought within the next 30 years if global warming continues [115][116][117], and this climate change will have an effect on the region's small native amphibians [95]. According to projections by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for 2100, based on the assumption of continued increase in greenhouse gas emissions in the twenty-first century, Iran may be exposed to temperatures of 1.5 to 4.5 • C under the pessimistic scenarios [118].…”

Section: Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Design of Protected Area by Tracking and Excluding the Effects of Climate and Landscape Change: A Case Study Using Neurergus derjugini

Vaissi

2021

Sustainability

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This study aimed to use the applications of Ensemble Species Distribution Modelling (eSDM), Geographical Information Systems (GISs), and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) for the design of a protected area (PA) for the critically endangered yellow-spotted mountain newt, Neurergus derjugini, by tracking and excluding the effects of climate and landscape changes in western Iran and northeastern Iraq. Potential recent and future distributions (2050 and 2070) were reconstructed by eSDM using eight algorithms with MRI-CGCM3 and CCSM4 models. The GIS-based MCDA siting procedure was followed inside habitats with high eSDM suitability by eliminating the main roads, cities, high village density, dams, poor vegetation, low stream density, agricultural lands and high ridge density. Then, within the remaining relevant areas, 10 polygons were created as “nominations” for PAs (NPAs). Finally, for 10 different NPAs, the suitability score was ranked based on ratings and weights (analytical hierarchy process) of the number of newt localities, NPA connectivity, NPA shape, NPA habitat suitability in 2070, NPA size, genetic diversity, village density and distance to nearest PAs, cities, and main roads. This research could serve as a modern realistic approach for environmental management to plan conservation areas using a cost-effective and affordable technique.

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Section: Climate Changementioning

confidence: 99%

Design of Protected Area by Tracking and Excluding the Effects of Climate and Landscape Change: A Case Study Using Neurergus derjugini

Vaissi

2021

Sustainability

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“…10 Table 1 is summarizing global burden diseases report that is linked to climate factors. 11 Populations in arid region of Iran are more vulnerable than that of other regions due to they are heavily exposed to hazardous substances, shortages of potable water supplies and sanitation systems, lack of protective policies and medical, and public health interventions. 12 The World Health Organization (WHO) reported that nearly 1 billion people are regularly exposed to levels of indoor air pollution on 2021 worldwide.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Socio-Environmental Determinants and Human Health Exposures in Arid and Semi-Arid Zones of Iran—Narrative Review

Kalankesh

Rodríguez‐Couto

Alami

et al. 2022

Environ�Health�Insights

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Lifestyle is different in arid and semi-arid zones. However, where people are born and live have a lasting influence on their social and environmental exposure. This review focuses on the, various dimensions of environmental health imbalance inequality especially in significant environmental sources such as (ie, air, water, soil) among provinces that creates a big health gap in the center, East and the Southeast of Iran. Thus, the population of the arid and semi-arid zones of Iran is facing respiratory, cardiovascular, cancer and infection diseases linked to environmental problems such as chemical and microbial pollution due to air pollution and unsafe water sources, respectively. The prevalence of certain types of cancer such as skin, stomach, bladder, prostate and colorectal cancer together with some respiratory and cardiovascular diseases in arid and semiarid zones such as Kerman, Yazd, etc., has been reported in comparison with other provinces frequently. These impacts have effects on multiple levels of health security in those zones. Based on these concerns, we propose key questions that should guide research in the context of the socio environmental science to support science-based management actions in Iran and other similar semi-arid areas worldwide.

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“…To the best of our knowledge, there is no reliable tool to discover the most essential criteria that contributed to food security under climate change in Iran. Also, policymakers requested to know the weight of each important criteria of food security under climate change to make decisions accurately for 85 million people in Iran [43][44][45][46]. In summary, we designed this study to distinguish the most important indicators of food security under climate change with the aim to help policymakers in Iran.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate Change and Food Security Prioritizing Indices: Applying Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Social Network Analysis (SNA)

et al. 2022

Self Cite

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Food security and climate change are multidimensional issues. Therefore, a lack of knowledge about the most essential variables made these concepts more complex for decision-making and highlighted the need for credible decision support methods. Here, we aim to develop an accurate tool by using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method to explore the priority indicator of food security under climate change in Iran and social network analysis (SNA) to support decisions. The following steps were conducted for the AHP approach: a literature review, a Likert questionnaire and experts’ interviews for variable selection and the variables’ weight determination and prioritization by pairwise comparison questionnaire, designed based on the hierarchy matrix of the criteria and sub-criteria of food security and climate change. The SNA was employed to understand the robustness of the informants’ points of view for indicator selection. After the analysis, 61 criteria were extracted. Sustainability was the important criterion, weighted 0.248. The most important sub-criteria (indicators): groundwater sources, household income, underweight adolescent ratio, food wastage and an annual average of precipitation, weighted 0.095, 0.091, 0.125, 0.227 and 0.236, respectively. The SNA showed that professionals with academic origins focused on the sustainability component. The AHP tool is a credible technique to distinguish the most important criteria. The results might be employed to estimate or predict food security under climate change and simplify decision making in Iran.

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Climate change and health in Iran: a narrative review

Cited by 50 publications

References 56 publications

Design of Protected Area by Tracking and Excluding the Effects of Climate and Landscape Change: A Case Study Using Neurergus derjugini

Design of Protected Area by Tracking and Excluding the Effects of Climate and Landscape Change: A Case Study Using Neurergus derjugini

Socio-Environmental Determinants and Human Health Exposures in Arid and Semi-Arid Zones of Iran—Narrative Review

Climate Change and Food Security Prioritizing Indices: Applying Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Social Network Analysis (SNA)

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