Abstract:Many studies have estimated the adverse effects of climate change on crop yields, however, this literature almost universally assumes a constant geographic distribution of crops in the future. Movement of growing areas to limit exposure to adverse climate conditions has been discussed as a theoretical adaptive response but has not previously been quantified or demonstrated at a global scale. Here, we assess how changes in rainfed crop area have already mediated growing season temperature trends for rainfed mai… Show more
“…A number of world regions currently rely heavily on rain-fed agriculture and require abundant irrigation, which has increased cultivation costs and raised conflicts over access to water. This situation has promoted unwanted environmental problems arising from quantity and quality changes in soil and water (Thiery et al, 2020;Sloat et al, 2020;Dai et al, 2020). A few studies have addressed the effects of global warming on agricultural water use including changes in net irrigation, water demand and water uptake by crops.…”
Section: Increased Irrigationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate projections have been used to estimate water demand for future irrigation (Gondim et al, 2012;Bakken et al, 2016), which are estimated to increase between 40 and 250% depending on the crop at the end of this century. The increased requirements have been ascribed to reduce water availability in the growing seasons, evapotranspiration and changes in crop phenology (Woznicki et al, 2015;Sloat et al, 2020;Dai et al, 2020). This causes great uncertainty about the predictions in the literature (Chung and Nkomozepi, 2012).…”
Crops, livestock and seafood are major contributors to global economy. Agriculture and fisheries are especially dependent on climate. Thus, elevated temperatures and carbon dioxide levels can have large impacts on appropriate nutrient levels, soil moisture, water availability and various other critical performance conditions. Changes in drought and flood frequency and severity can pose severe challenges to farmers and threaten food safety. In addition, increasingly warmer water temperatures are likely to shift the habitat ranges of many fish and shellfish species, ultimately disrupting ecosystems. In general, climate change will probably have negative implications for farming, animal husbandry and fishing. The effects of climate change must be taken into account as a key aspect along with other evolving factors with a potential impact on agricultural production, such as changes in agricultural practices and technology; all of them with a serious impact on food availability and price. This review is intended to provide critical and timely information on climate change and its implications in the food production/consumption system, paying special attention to the available mitigation strategies.
“…A number of world regions currently rely heavily on rain-fed agriculture and require abundant irrigation, which has increased cultivation costs and raised conflicts over access to water. This situation has promoted unwanted environmental problems arising from quantity and quality changes in soil and water (Thiery et al, 2020;Sloat et al, 2020;Dai et al, 2020). A few studies have addressed the effects of global warming on agricultural water use including changes in net irrigation, water demand and water uptake by crops.…”
Section: Increased Irrigationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Climate projections have been used to estimate water demand for future irrigation (Gondim et al, 2012;Bakken et al, 2016), which are estimated to increase between 40 and 250% depending on the crop at the end of this century. The increased requirements have been ascribed to reduce water availability in the growing seasons, evapotranspiration and changes in crop phenology (Woznicki et al, 2015;Sloat et al, 2020;Dai et al, 2020). This causes great uncertainty about the predictions in the literature (Chung and Nkomozepi, 2012).…”
Crops, livestock and seafood are major contributors to global economy. Agriculture and fisheries are especially dependent on climate. Thus, elevated temperatures and carbon dioxide levels can have large impacts on appropriate nutrient levels, soil moisture, water availability and various other critical performance conditions. Changes in drought and flood frequency and severity can pose severe challenges to farmers and threaten food safety. In addition, increasingly warmer water temperatures are likely to shift the habitat ranges of many fish and shellfish species, ultimately disrupting ecosystems. In general, climate change will probably have negative implications for farming, animal husbandry and fishing. The effects of climate change must be taken into account as a key aspect along with other evolving factors with a potential impact on agricultural production, such as changes in agricultural practices and technology; all of them with a serious impact on food availability and price. This review is intended to provide critical and timely information on climate change and its implications in the food production/consumption system, paying special attention to the available mitigation strategies.
“…Resilience to unpredictable weather will also benefit from intercropping, with the creative arrangement of multiple interacting crop species to diversify the field and the landscape 101,172,285,286 . Sloat et al 287 reported that warming impact on maize, wheat and rice could be moderated by migration of these crops over time and the expansion of irrigation. Multiple-cropping systems and strategies to integrate animals and crops will make more efficient use of natural resources and applied inputs; these include systems such as permaculture, agroforestry, alley cropping, intercropping and sowing C 4 crops compared to C 3 crops.…”
Section: Plant Breeding and Genetic Modifications Plant Breeding Andmentioning
Growth and development of cereal crops are linked to weather, day length and growing degree-days (GDDs) which make them responsive to the specific environments in specific seasons. Global temperature is rising due to human activities such as burning of fossil fuels and clearance of woodlands for building construction. The rise in temperature disrupts crop growth and development. Disturbance mainly causes a shift in phenological development of crops and affects their economic yield. Scientists and farmers adapt to these phenological shifts, in part, by changing sowing time and cultivar shifts which may increase or decrease crop growth duration. Nonetheless, climate warming is a global phenomenon and cannot be avoided. In this scenario, food security can be ensured by improving cereal production through agronomic management, breeding of climate-adapted genotypes and increasing genetic biodiversity. In this review, climate warming, its impact and consequences are discussed with reference to their influences on phenological shifts. Furthermore, how different cereal crops adapt to climate warming by regulating their phenological development is elaborated. Based on the above mentioned discussion, different management strategies to cope with climate warming are suggested.
“…Breeding should be aimed at improving the varieties' drought tolerance, deep rooting of the root system [8,38,39], and creating cold-resistant early varieties that can be planted early in order to avoid the risks of drought in the second half of summer [9]. Climate warming creates the prerequisites for the advance of soybean varieties to the more northern regions with better precipitation [40].…”
In view of climate change and the active extension of soybean cultivation in Russia, the identification of yield-limiting factors has become a relevant task. The objective of this study was to identify the climatic factors associated with the variation in soybean productivity under the contrasting eco-geographical conditions of the Krasnodar (KR) and Primorye (PR) territories of Russia. An analysis of 424 soybean varieties from the global collection of the N.I. Vavilov Institute (VIR) at experimental stations in KR and PR in 1987–2005 showed that the soybean yields were higher and time to maturity was longer in KR than in PR, while the 1000 seed weight, on average, was irrelevant to the place of cultivation. The agrometeorological regression models of the observations in 1972–2017 of varieties accepted as the standards showed that the yield in PR was positively related to the sum of the temperatures above 10 °C and negatively related to precipitation in October, while in KR it was positively related to the hydrothermal coefficient. The stability of the soybean yield and of the time to maturity were higher in PR than in KR. Under the conditions of increasing temperatures and the absence of reliable trends for precipitation, a lack of moisture becomes a significant disadvantage for soybean in KR, while in PR conditions are improving.
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