China and the Reconstruction of Syria

Burton, Guy; Lyall, Nicholas; Pauley, Logan

doi:10.3751/75.1.13

Cited by 6 publications

(5 citation statements)

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“…2013, Moret 2015. One possible mechanism in counteracting deleterious effect of international sanctions may be the increased military and development assistance of countries such as China and, to a lesser extent, Russia and Iran (Burton et. al.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-Term Effects of Yugoslav War

Kešeljević

Spruk

2020

SSRN Journal

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Long-Term Effects of Yugoslav War

Kešeljević

Spruk

2020

SSRN Journal

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“…On the other hand, the imposed sanctions on humanitarian and public health outcomes only seem to have prolonged the protracted and deep negative effects of war on various metrics of human development (Friberg Lyme 2012, Sen et al 2013, Moret 2015. One possible mechanism in counteracting deleterious effect of international sanctions may be the increased military and development assistance of countries such as China and, to a lesser extent, Russia and Iran (Burton et al 2021). In terms of further example, the humanitarian impact of the civil war appears to be devastating.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the effects of Syrian civil war

Kešeljević

Spruk

2023

Empir Econ

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We estimate the effects of the Syrian civil war using a synthetic control method which is based on a counterfactual scenario of an absence of the armed conflict that has led to the humanitarian crisis and one of the largest population displacements without a precedent in modern history. By comparing Syria’s growth and development trajectories with the characteristics of a set of sixty-six countries with no armed internal conflict between 1996 and 2021, we can deduce a series of gaps in economic growth, human development, and institutional quality that can be attributed to the civil war. Our analysis shows that the effect of the Syrian civil war on the trajectory of economic growth was temporary and almost disappeared before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic. Conversely, the war led to an unprecedented decline in human development, a high rise in infant mortality, and a prevalent degradation of institutional quality. To the present day, the civil war has led to more than 4500 additional infant deaths with a permanently derailed trajectory of longevity. The unparalleled and permanent deterioration in institutional quality resulting from the war is indicated by a diminished rule of law, civil liberties, government efficiency, and a widespread escalation of corruption. To ensure the internal validity of the findings, the estimated effects were subjected to and passed a variety of placebo checks.

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“…Aside from its conflict management efforts, China has also been referred to as a potential partner for Syria’s postwar reconstruction. Factors including China being the world’s second-largest economy, its use of the veto in the UNSC for the resolutions drafted against the Assad regime and uninterrupted trade relations between Syria and China have led the Syrian regime to view China as an attractive reconstruction partner for the war-torn country (Burton et al, 2021, p. 64). On the other hand, postwar reconstruction in Syria is indeed compatible with BRI, in which the Syrian coast would “play the role of an ‘industrial linking port’ tying together the Persian Gulf, the Arabian Sea, the Red Sea and the Mediterranean via Chinese investments in ports in the Gulf, Egypt, Djibouti and Israel” (Al-Ghadhawi, 2020).…”

Section: China and The Syrian Conflictmentioning

confidence: 99%

China’s Conflict Management in the Middle East: Involvement without Impact?

Karakır

2022

Contemporary Review of the Middle East

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China’s foreign policy toward the Middle East has traditionally been shaped by its national interests based on energy security, arms exports, and technology transfers. To complement its interest-driven regional policies, China has expanded its diplomatic contacts and promoted cultural ties. Over the last two decades, China has also engaged in conflict management in several regional issues, despite its declared commitment to nonintervention in other countries’ domestic affairs. This article aims to analyze China’s conflict management policies in the region, focusing on the Israeli–Palestinian conflict, Iran’s nuclear program and the Syrian conflict. Compared with other major external powers, prospects for China’s conflict management seem high given two significant advantages. First, unlike Western powers or Russia, China has not left any bitter taste in the region associated with colonialism, religious or historical engagement. Secondly, China has been careful not to take clear-cut sides in regional conflicts, making itself an ideal candidate to act as an honest broker. It is argued that despite these advantages, Chinese conflict management in the region has remained considerably modest and lacked any practical solutions to the critical problems.

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China and the Reconstruction of Syria

Cited by 6 publications

References 0 publications

Long-Term Effects of Yugoslav War

Long-Term Effects of Yugoslav War

Estimating the effects of Syrian civil war

China’s Conflict Management in the Middle East: Involvement without Impact?

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