Characteristics of tropical cyclones making landfall on the Pacific coast of Mexico: 1970-2010

Farfán, Luis M.; Alfaro, Eric J.; Cavazos, Tereza

doi:10.1016/s0187-6236(13)71070-1

Cited by 33 publications

(33 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…The hurricane season runs from June to November with a peak in September . The ETPac is itself an important region of hurricane development affecting mainly the Pacific coast of Mexico, and occasionally the northern part of Central America (Guatemala and El Salvador) (Amador, Hidalgo, Amador et al, 2012;Farfán, Alfaro, & Cavazos, 2013). Alfaro (2007a); and studied the variability in the annual number of tropical cyclones (TC) for the Atlantic as a function of the inter-annual and decadal variability of SST.…”

Section: Precipitationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems

Maldonado

Alfaro

Hidalgo

2018

RBT

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Central America is a region susceptible to natural disasters and climate change. We reviewed the literature on the main atmospheric and oceanographic forces and climate modulators affecting Central America, for different spatial and time scales. We also reviewed the reported correlation between climate variability, natural hazards and climate change aspects (in the past and future). In addition, we examined the current state of seasonal prediction systems being applied to the region. At inter-annual scales, El Niño/Southern Oscillation is the main climate modulator; however, other indices such as the Tropical North Atlantic, Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation and Pacific Decadal Oscillation, have shown a correlation with precipitation anomalies in the region. Current seasonal forecast systems in the region have shown a constant development, including incorporation of different approaches ranging from statistical to dynamical downscaling, improving prediction of variables such as precipitation. Many studies have revealed the need of including –in addition to the climatic information– socio-economic variables to assess the impact of natural disasters and climate change in the region. These studies highlight the importance of socio-economic and human life losses associated with the impacts caused by natural hazards for organizations and governments. Rev. Biol. Trop. 66(Suppl. 1): S153-S175. Epub 2018 April 01.

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Section: Precipitationmentioning

confidence: 99%

A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems

Maldonado

Alfaro

Hidalgo

2018

RBT

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“…Desde el inicio de este siglo se ha observado un incremento en las tendencias de algunos de los fenómenos extremos meteorológicos (Peterson et al, 2007), asociados a temperaturas máximas y mínimas (Zhou et al, 2009), a efectos de precipitación como el impacto de ciclones tropicales (Farfán et al, 2013), inundaciones (Pineda-Martínez et al, 2014) y en menor grado tornados . Si bien a nivel global se ha estudiado el impacto de los cambios del clima en función de las variaciones de la temperatura y sus tendencias asociadas al incremento de Gases de Efecto Invernadero (GHG), la precipitación es menos asociada a estos cambios debido a su comportamiento más heterogéneo (Easterling et al, 2000;Kumar et al, 2013).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Since the beginning of this century, an increase in the trends of some extreme meteorological phenomena has been observed (Peterson et al, 2007), associated to maximum and minimum temperatures (Zhou et al, 2009), effects of precipitation such as impacts of tropical cyclone (Farfán et al, 2013), floods (Pineda-Martínez et al, 2014) and to tornados, to a lesser extent . Although the impact of climate changes according to temperature variations and their trends associated to the increase of greenhouse gases (GHG) has been globally studied, precipitation…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Aun así, se han observado tendencias de las precipitaciones a nivel global, donde se muestra como las lluvias máximas en 1 y 5 días son más frecuentes, además de marcados patrones regionales (Easterling et al, 2000). En los trópicos se observa una disminución de ciclones tropicales de alto impacto en el Atlántico y un aumento de tormentas y ciclones tropicales en el Pacifico (Cárdenas et al, 2016;Farfán et al, 2013;Meehl et al, 2009).…”

Section: Introductionunclassified

“…Nevertheless, precipitation trends have been observed at global level, which show how maximum rainfalls in one-day and five-day are more frequent, in addition to marked regional patterns (Easterling et al, 2000). In the tropics, a decrease of high-impact tropical cyclones is observed in the Atlantic and an increase of storms and tropical cyclones in the Pacific (Cárdenas et al, 2016;Farfán et al, 2013;Meehl et al, 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Pineda-Martínez

León‐Cruz

Carbajal

2020

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Ocean–atmosphere conditions related to severe and persistent droughts in the Mexican Altiplano

Vega-Camarena

Brito‐Castillo

Farfán

et al. 2017

Intl Journal of Climatology

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Ocean and atmospheric patterns associated with the most severe and most persistent droughts in the Mexican Altiplano region are explored. The standardized precipitation index on a time scale of 12 months was used and compared with time series of other atmospheric conditions to identify major dry episodes from 1970 to 2012. The time series were derived from the second mode of a varimax-rotated empirical orthogonal functional analysis from the mean summer rainfall series observed at weather stations located in the Mexican Altiplano from 1970 through 2000. The results showed that the longest and most persistent episode occurred from 1998 through 2001, while the most severe dry episode occurred in 2011-2012, when the Pacific Decadal Oscillation was in a negative phase and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation in a positive phase, both in combination with a La Niña event. A large upper-level anticyclone over the north-central United States is related to droughts in the Altiplano. Under these conditions, the droughts were linked to a large anticyclone positioned over the central-north of the United States, with consequent negative anomalies of specific humidity over central-northern Mexico. Concurrent with droughts in the interior of Mexico, are positive rainfall anomalies along the central Pacific coast of Mexico near the study area.Under different atmospheric conditions, opposite anomalous behaviour between the coast and interior can exist. The mechanism driving this see-saw behaviour between the west coast of Mexico and the Altiplano is explored.

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Characteristics of tropical cyclones making landfall on the Pacific coast of Mexico: 1970-2010

Cited by 33 publications

References 15 publications

A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems

A review of the main drivers and variability of Central America’s Climate and seasonal forecast systems

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Ocean–atmosphere conditions related to severe and persistent droughts in the Mexican Altiplano

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