2015
DOI: 10.1108/caer-11-2013-0152
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Changes of China’s agri-food exports to Germany caused by its accession to WTO and the 2008 financial crisis

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate changes of China's agri-food exports to Germany caused by China's accession to WTO and the global financial crisis in a quantitative way. The paper aims to detect structural breaks and compare differences before and after the change points. The structural breaks detection procedures in this paper can be applied to find out two different types of change points, i.e. in the middle and at the end of one time series.

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Cited by 8 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 21 publications
(15 reference statements)
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“…Fang and Shakur (2018) stated that these cost are falling, although remain abnormally high which is especially problematic for less developed countries in EU. Obtained results also confirms Guo et al (2015) research which shows that despite a significant structural break during financial crisis, relationship of agri-food trade between China and Germany was developing stably. Moreover, German agri-food export to China developed to the extent that allows to compete with France whose export was previously better established on Chinese market.…”
Section: Similarity Of Export In the Chinese Marketsupporting
confidence: 83%
“…Fang and Shakur (2018) stated that these cost are falling, although remain abnormally high which is especially problematic for less developed countries in EU. Obtained results also confirms Guo et al (2015) research which shows that despite a significant structural break during financial crisis, relationship of agri-food trade between China and Germany was developing stably. Moreover, German agri-food export to China developed to the extent that allows to compete with France whose export was previously better established on Chinese market.…”
Section: Similarity Of Export In the Chinese Marketsupporting
confidence: 83%
“…Studies which focused on the trade between China and Germany mainly compare the bilateral trade volume itself, while others analyzed the reasons of the key contributors in stimulating the bilateral trades [ 16 , 36 ]. Guo et al [ 37 ] summarized China’s exports to Germany developed since China’s access to WTO in 2001. Recently, Wang et al [ 15 ] researched the carbon emissions embodied in trade for China and Germany, and discovered increasing volumes of carbon emissions between the two countries from 1995 to 2009.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The financial crisis in 2008 was responsible for the highest abrupt variations in the export, import and trade balance lines. The financial crisis in 2008 led to the collapse of a large number of enterprises dealing in forest woody products and employment in China, causing a rapid decline in import demand in WWFP [38]. This financial crisis led to the shrinking of international forest woody product market.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Also, the total VWWFP transfer, of course, fell rapidly. However, the Chinese government's strong macroeconomic controls [38] delayed the most abrupt variations in VWWFP trade balance (net VWWFP import) until 2009. VWWFP flow direction was also observed.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%