2019
DOI: 10.1590/001152582019194
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Carreiras Políticas na Câmara dos Deputados: Uma Análise Quase-Experimental

Abstract: RESUMO Este artigo investiga o efeito das eleições sobre as carreiras dos candidatos a deputado federal no Brasil. Com um desenho de regressão descontínua, ele mostra que os resultados de uma única eleição têm impactos substantivos na carreira parlamentar: obter um mandato na Câmara causa um aumento de cerca de 25 pontos percentuais a mais na chance de um político ser reeleito quatro anos depois, efeito que permanece positivo por até 12 anos após o primeiro mandato. Candidatos derrotados, ao contrário, passam … Show more

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“…There is a vast literature highlighting the importance of political experience (i.e., office-holding experience and incumbency) for a candidate’s electoral success. In particular, candidates who have already been successfully tested at the polls have the greatest electoral potential (Cirone et al, 2021; Fiva and Røhr, 2018), especially in Brazil, given the high levels of incumbency advantage of candidates in the legislature (Avelino et al, 2022; Meira, 2020; Meireles, 2019). In addition to incumbents, candidates with office-holding experience (winners) also have electoral advantages, even when running for different political offices (multi-office incumbency advantage, see Magalhaes and Hirvonen (2015)).…”
Section: Olpr List Composition and Candidacy Hierarchymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is a vast literature highlighting the importance of political experience (i.e., office-holding experience and incumbency) for a candidate’s electoral success. In particular, candidates who have already been successfully tested at the polls have the greatest electoral potential (Cirone et al, 2021; Fiva and Røhr, 2018), especially in Brazil, given the high levels of incumbency advantage of candidates in the legislature (Avelino et al, 2022; Meira, 2020; Meireles, 2019). In addition to incumbents, candidates with office-holding experience (winners) also have electoral advantages, even when running for different political offices (multi-office incumbency advantage, see Magalhaes and Hirvonen (2015)).…”
Section: Olpr List Composition and Candidacy Hierarchymentioning
confidence: 99%