2011
DOI: 10.1155/2011/861049
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Can Thrifty Gene(s) or Predictive Fetal Programming for Thriftiness Lead to Obesity?

Abstract: Obesity and related disorders are thought to have their roots in metabolic “thriftiness” that evolved to combat periodic starvation. The association of low birth weight with obesity in later life caused a shift in the concept from thrifty gene to thrifty phenotype or anticipatory fetal programming. The assumption of thriftiness is implicit in obesity research. We examine here, with the help of a mathematical model, the conditions for evolution of thrifty genes or fetal programming for thriftiness. The model su… Show more

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Cited by 27 publications
(34 citation statements)
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“…Theoreticians have already shown in a general case that environmental persistence is required in order for any kind of predictive plasticity to be adaptive [36,55,58]. Our results are also consistent with previous arguments that temporal environmental fluctuations reduce the adaptive value of external PARs over human lifespans [44,46,47]. Our model shows that, because of the geometric decay of intertemporal correlation across the years, in order for there to be a substantial persistence of childhood environment to adulthood more than a decade later, the year-to-year autocorrelation of the environment has to be greater than 0.95.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 91%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…Theoreticians have already shown in a general case that environmental persistence is required in order for any kind of predictive plasticity to be adaptive [36,55,58]. Our results are also consistent with previous arguments that temporal environmental fluctuations reduce the adaptive value of external PARs over human lifespans [44,46,47]. Our model shows that, because of the geometric decay of intertemporal correlation across the years, in order for there to be a substantial persistence of childhood environment to adulthood more than a decade later, the year-to-year autocorrelation of the environment has to be greater than 0.95.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 91%
“…Climatic time series (e.g. rainfall) do not generally show autocorrelations of nearly the requisite strength [47]. However, there have been longer scale climatic fluctuations in the course of human evolution [61], and these could be relevant as long as the shorter term variability could be smoothed out by parental buffering, as discussed by Kuzawa [62].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Informational ADP hypotheses are most straightforward to make in cases where the organism is short-lived, or where the phenotype P is visible to selection soon after I is received. Where the organism is long-lived and there is considerable delay between the experience of I and the fitness advantage of P, within-lifetime environmental change can undermine the informational value of I [33][34][35]. For example, even a modest amount of year-to-year variation is sufficient to destroy the informational content of birth-year conditions for predicting adulthood conditions in humans [33,35].…”
Section: Comparing Informational and Somatic State-based Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A key prediction of existing theory is that environmental conditions need to be sufficiently autocorrelated with later-life environmental conditions. However, some studies suggest that autocorrelations from climatic timeseries are, in fact, small and thus cannot readily account for the widespread occurrence of early-life effects (e.g., [44,45]). Our model, however, shows that variation in the social environment can drive the evolution of early-life effects, even in the absence of autocorrelations in the abiotic environment, because social sensitivity itself generates high autocorrelations between parental and offspring social environments (see Figure 3).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%