Building the future: Undertaking proactive strategy for national outlook

Pourezzat, Ali Asghar; Mollaee, Abdolazim; Firouzabadi, Morteza

doi:10.1016/j.futures.2008.07.024

Cited by 4 publications

(4 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…Scenario planning has not only gained momentum in the literature (Varum and Melo, 2010), it has also been increasingly used in practice (Amer et al, 2013). There is also growing recognition about using scenarios not for predictive purposes (Amer et al, 2013;Burt and Wright, 2006;Curry and Schultz, 2009;Fortes et al, 2015;Harries, 2003;Inayatullah, 1998;Kok et al, 2006b;Neugarten, 2006;Pourezzat et al, 2008;Wodak and Neale, 2015), but as "an aid to anticipation of the future under conditions of low predictability" (Wright and Goodwin, 2009).…”

Section: Connecting the Future Scenarios Empowerment And Action Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment

Bourgeois

Penunia

Bisht

et al. 2017

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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We present here a co-elaborative scenario building approach, called Participatory Prospective Analysis (PPA) and discuss its relevance for empowering local communities/organizations. This approach is adapted from the French “La Prospective”. It is used as an action research engaging local farming communities in expanding their understanding of their own futures. Three cases of local implementation at farmer community level in India, Indonesia, and the Philippines illustrate how this approach was implemented. They are part of a global project in the field of food, agriculture and rural development, aiming at balancing the capacity to use the future, which is currently not fairly distributed to the detriment of local stakeholders, organizations and communities. Our results focus on the emergence of futures literacy as a capability, its connection to local agency and societal transformation. Our discussion highlights what in this approach makes the use of scenarios empowering, beyond its participatory features. The capacity to use the future has a great potential for local agency, even if it does not guarantee that communities will have the power or the willingness to directly engage in actions. Nevertheless, this approach seems to be a promising avenue for making everyone a future-literate potential agent of change. (Résumé d'auteur

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Section: Connecting the Future Scenarios Empowerment And Action Resmentioning

confidence: 99%

Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment

Bourgeois

Penunia

Bisht

et al. 2017

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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“…In Figure 6 (A), members of society do not believe their past & present capabilities and capacities would influence their future. Therefore they find themselves passive in facing the future and such passive attitude would make the elite implement passive or harmonic strategies (Pourezzat et al, 2008). Tending to follow the previous approaches, under influence of archetypes (Morgan, 2006, 330) would bring stagnation in the society about.…”

Section: Cultural: Based Strategy and People's Time Visionmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Revolutionary Look

Rouzbehani

2016

International Journal of Applied Management Sciences and Engineering

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The strategy of each organization is an index by which an organization can be introduced. It can represent a holographic image of all elements which are effective in formation of an organization since strategy itself is under influence of culture. In fact, the strategy of each organization is one artifact among all organizational artifacts which to a noticeable extent can represent the future images of the organization. Considering strategy as a cultural product, this study believes the future dimensions of organizations can be predicted based on their current strategies and previous cultural structure.

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“…Anyway, moving to knowledge economy may be considered as a macro strategy by the policy‐makers of the region, especially in sectors like information technology and software production. For instance, the development of e‐government services could contribute to the country by facilitating service provision to the public and enabling people to proactively participate in social and nation‐wide decisions (Pourezzat and Nejati, 2007, 2008, Pourezzat et al , 2008). However, we emphasize that its development requires a fundamental change in the administrative system and public policy‐making of these countries.…”

Section: Macro Scenariosmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This paper seeks to consider the possibility of using era‐based cellular planning system by using and adopting a future study approach to propose more reliable strategies to be undertaken by the countries of the region. Such system can strengthen, as far as possible, the possibility of emphasizing the win‐win choices in strategic decisions of the involved countries and make it possible for them to use the proactive strategy to portray the future (Pourezzat et al , 2008).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Scenario planning and futurology of the Persian Gulf post‐oil economy

Pourezzat

Nejati²,

Attar³

et al. 2011

Foresight

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Purpose -The purpose of this paper is to explore the economy of Persian Gulf countries following a post-oil economy. This is accompanied with a futurology study and planning of certain scenarios that can be applied to these countries.Design/methodology/approach -This study applies a futurology approach by investigating various scenarios to explore the Arab economy after oil. As such, a series of possible policies are proposed that can be undertaken by Arab countries depending on their public policy. Each of the suggested policies involves different scenarios that have been formed and analyzed using an era-based cellular planning system.Findings -The findings propose three main policies to be undertaken by Arab countries including: investing the oil income in miscellaneous economic baskets in order to minimize the vulnerability and maximize the profits; reducing the oil production in the coming years and transforming the one-product oil economy to a value added petrochemical economy; and seeking new sources of income and wealth. In addition, findings emphasize the necessity for using renewable and lasting wealth resources and minimizing the dependency of countries on the oil economy.Originality/value -The proposed scenarios in the study can act as strategic constructs in strengthening the scenario sets in the consecutive years and help develop other scenarios in the future. As such, this paper would be of interest to governmental advisors, strategic planners and policy-makers involved in studies related to the Middle East.

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Building the future: Undertaking proactive strategy for national outlook

Cited by 4 publications

References 9 publications

Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment

Foresight for all: Co-elaborative scenario building and empowerment

A Revolutionary Look

Scenario planning and futurology of the Persian Gulf post‐oil economy

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