Abstract. We estimated the black carbon (BC) concentration over the Hindu Kush Himalayan region (HKH), its impact on snow albedo reduction, and sensitivity
on annual glacier runoff over the identified glaciers. These estimates were
based on free-running aerosol simulations (freesimu) and constrained
aerosol simulations (constrsimu) from an atmospheric general circulation
model, combined with numerical simulations of a glacial mass balance model. BC
concentration estimated from freesimu performed better over higher altitude
(HA) HKH stations than that over lower altitude (LA) stations. The estimates
from constrsimu mirrored the measurements well when implemented for LA
stations. Estimates of the spatial distribution of BC concentration in the
snowpack (BCc) over the HKH region led to identifying a hot-spot zone
located around Manora Peak. Among glaciers over this zone, BCc
(>60 µg kg−1) and BC-induced snow albedo reduction (≈5 %)
were estimated explicitly being high during the pre-monsoon for Pindari,
Poting, Chorabari, and Gangotri glaciers (which are major sources of fresh
water for the Indian subcontinent). The rate of increase of BCc in
recent years (i.e., over the period 1961–2010) was, however, estimated to be
the highest for the Zemu Glacier. Sensitivity analysis with a glacial mass
balance model indicated the increase in annual runoff from debris-free
glacier areas due to BC-induced snow albedo reduction (SAR) corresponding to
the BCc estimated for the HKH glaciers was 4 %–18 %, with the highest
being for the Milam and Pindari glaciers. The rate of increase in annual
glacier runoff per unit BC-induced percentage SAR was specifically high for
Milam, Pindari, and Sankalpa glaciers. The source-specific contribution to
atmospheric BC aerosols by emission sources led to identifying the potential
emission source being primarily from the biofuel combustion in the
Indo-Gangetic Plain south of 30∘ N, but also from open burning in a
more remote region north of 30∘ N.