2020
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240799
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Beyond megadrought and collapse in the Northern Levant: The chronology of Tell Tayinat and two historical inflection episodes, around 4.2ka BP, and following 3.2ka BP

Abstract: There has been considerable focus on the main, expansionary, and inter-regionally linked or ‘globalising’ periods in Old World pre- and proto-history, with a focus on identifying, analyzing and dating collapse at the close of these pivotal periods. The end of the Early Bronze Age in the late third millennium BCE and a subsequent ‘intermediate’ or transitional period before the Middle Bronze Age (~2200–1900 BCE), and the end of the Late Bronze Age in the late second millennium BCE and the ensuing period of tran… Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(26 citation statements)
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“…A recurrent issue is that climate change is notoriously difficult to pin down to narrow chronological parameters that can articulate with the resolution of archaeological chronologies and defined horizons of social change (Manning et al 2020;Middleton 2017b;Swindles et al 2013). This places a burden on archaeology at least to provide well-resolved spatial and temporal data in sufficient quantity to model the temporality and pace of change in societies.…”
Section: Study Areasmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…A recurrent issue is that climate change is notoriously difficult to pin down to narrow chronological parameters that can articulate with the resolution of archaeological chronologies and defined horizons of social change (Manning et al 2020;Middleton 2017b;Swindles et al 2013). This places a burden on archaeology at least to provide well-resolved spatial and temporal data in sufficient quantity to model the temporality and pace of change in societies.…”
Section: Study Areasmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Marked palaeohydrological changes between 1200 and 750 BCE are widespread and often associated with cold phases, such as the 3.2 and 2.8 ka events and Crisis Years Cooling Event (CYCE), and reductions in solar irradiance (Kaniewski et al., 2019; Mayewski et al., 2004; Steinhilber et al., 2009; Wanner et al., 2015). Links between these changes and socio‐political change remain controversial (Drake, 2012; Finné et al., 2017; Kaniewski et al., 2013; Knapp & Manning, 2016; Manning et al., 2020). While similar palaeohydrological changes to those revealed by Ko‐1 are observed in records such as Gölhisar, Skala Marion, and Tell Tweini (Eastwood et al., 2007; Kaniewski et al., 2019; Psomiadis et al., 2018), others are dissimilar (Figure 4).…”
Section: Ko‐1 Record and Em Palaeoclimatementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Yet the earlier second-millennium BC sequence and particularly the third to second millennium BC transition remain unknown due to limited data obtained from both excavation campaigns. The same situation exists for the end of the Early Bronze Age at the neighbouring thirdmillennium BC centre of Tell Tayinat (Welton 2011;; see also Manning et al 2020).…”
Section: The Regional Settingmentioning
confidence: 73%