M A N U S C R I P T A C C E P T E D ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPTAbbreviations: CI = confidence interval, CNS = central nervous system, Cr = creatinine, CVS = cardiovascular system, ED = emergency department, FiO2 = fraction inspired oxygen, GCS = Glascow coma score, GIT = gastrointestinal system, HAEM = haematological system, HR = hazard ratio, ICU = intensive care unit, IQR = inter-quartile range, NA = noradrenaline, OR = odds ratio, PaO2 = arterial oxygen partial pressure (mmHg), RA = room air, RESP = respiratory system, RR = relative risk, SBP = systolic blood pressure, SD = standard deviation, SIRS = systemic inflammatory response syndrome, SOFA = sequential organ function assessment, SpO2 = oximetry saturation, UO = urine output.
M A N U S C R I P T A C C E P T E D ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT
ABSTRACTObjective: A proposed revision of sepsis definitions has abandoned SIRS, defined organ dysfunction as an increase in total SOFA score of ≥2, and conceived "qSOFA" as a bedside indicator of organ dysfunction. We aimed to (1) determine the prognostic impact of SIRS, (2) compare diagnostic accuracy of SIRS and qSOFA for organ dysfunction, and (3) compare standard (Sepsis-2) and revised (Sepsis-3) definitions for organ dysfunction in emergency department patients with infection.Methods: Consecutive ED patients admitted with presumed infection were prospectively enrolled over three years. Observational data were collected sufficient to calculate SIRS, qSOFA, SOFA, comorbidity and mortality.Results: 8871 patients were enrolled, 4176 (47.1%) with SIRS. SIRS was associated with increased risk of organ dysfunction (RR 3.5), and mortality in patients without organ dysfunction (OR 3.2). SIRS and qSOFA showed similar discrimination for organ dysfunction (AUROC 0.72 vs 0.73). qSOFA was specific but poorly sensitive for organ dysfunction (96.1%, 29.7% respectively). Mortality for patients with organ dysfunction was similar for Sepsis-2 and Sepsis-3 (12.5%, 11.4%) although 29% of patients with Sepsis-3 organ dysfunction did not meet Sepsis-2 criteria. Increasing number of Sepsis-2 organ dysfunctions was associated with greater mortality.Conclusions: SIRS was associated with organ dysfunction and mortality, and abandoning the concept appears premature. Although qSOFA≥2 showed high specificity, poor sensitivity may limit utility as a bedside screen. Although mortality for organ dysfunction was comparable between Sepsis-2 and Sepsis-3, more prognostic and clinical information is conveyed using Sepsis-2 regarding number of organ dysfunctions. The SOFA score may require recalibration.