Before the wind: A study of the response to Hurricane Carla. (Publication 1095, Disaster Study No. 19).

Moore, Harry Estill; Bates, Frederick L.; Layman, Marvin V.; Parenton, Vernon J.

doi:10.1037/e407522004-001

Cited by 19 publications

(17 citation statements)

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“…Evacuation behavior and possible complacency toward hurricanes has been researched numerous times dating back to the 1950s (Killian 1954;Moore et al 1963;Wilkinson et al 1970;Baker 1979Baker , 1991. Windham et al (1977) was one of the first researchers to describe complacency through repeat experiences and false alarms for veterans of many hurricanes.…”

Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 98%

The perceived landfall location of evacuees from Hurricane Gustav

et al. 2009

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Hurricane evacuations in the United States are costly, chaotic, and sometimes unnecessary. Many coastal residents consider evacuation after viewing a forecasted graphic of where the storm is anticipated to make landfall. During the evacuation process, hurricane tracks commonly deviate from the forecasted landfall track and many evacuees may not pay attention to these track deviations after evacuating. Frequently, a disconnect may occur between the actual landfall track, the official forecasted track, and the perceived track of each individual as they made their evacuation decision. Specifically for evacuees, a shift in track may decrease the hazards associated with a landfalling hurricane since evacuees perceive their threat level to be high at the time of evacuation. Using survey data gathered during the evacuation from Hurricane Gustav (2008) in coastal Louisiana (USA), we calculated a type of Z-score to measure the distance error between each evacuee's perceived landfall location and the actual landfall location from each evacuee's home zip code. Results indicate a personal landfall bias in the direction of home zip code for evacuees of three metropolitan regions. Evacuees from the greater New Orleans area displayed the highest error, followed by evacuees from greater Lafayette. Furthermore, we validate the authenticity of the previous results by employing two additional methods of error assessment. A large regional error score might possibly be a predictor of evacuation complacency for a future hurricane of similar magnitude, although there are many other variables that must be considered.

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Section: Related Literaturementioning

confidence: 98%

The perceived landfall location of evacuees from Hurricane Gustav

et al. 2009

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“…Beginning in the 1950s, researchers began to document the response of coastal residents to hurricane threats (e.g., Killian 1954). In the following decades, more attention was placed on the response of evacuees from land-falling hurricanes and the demographics of both evacuating and non-evacuating populations (Moore et al 1963;Wilkinson et al 1970;Baker 1980Baker , 1986Baker , 1990. These studies focused on individual action relative to the hurricane and the potential impact other variables might have that could be used as future predictors of evacuation behavior.…”

Section: Relevant Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Pre-landfall evacuee perception of the meteorological hazards associated with Hurricane Gustav

Brommer

Senkbeil

2010

Nat Hazards

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In this study, evacuees from the path of Hurricane Gustav were surveyed to determine which meteorological hazards most influenced their decision to leave. Surveys were conducted along two major evacuation routes on August 30 and 31, 2008, to collect time-sensitive data on individual evacuation decisions related to the meteorological hazards from Hurricane Gustav. The regions of New Orleans, Houma, and Lafayette were represented most frequently, as determined by zip code data collected from the surveys. Responses were evaluated first by meteorological hazard for the entire dataset and then by three-digit zip code region. Overall, storm surge was the most important meteorological variable, followed by the size of the storm, wind, rain, and tornadoes. When separated into three-digit zip code regions, analyses revealed evacuees from in and around New Orleans were driven to evacuate as a result of the perceived threat from storm surge and storm size; residents in the Houma, Louisiana region were motivated to leave due to the threat from storm surge; and Lafayette and the surrounding areas were most-concerned with the threats posed by hurricane-force winds. Given the forecast track and intensity, survey respondents understood the meteorological hazards from Gustav and were motivated to leave based on personal evaluations of risk associated with the storm.

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“…It builds on a substantial body of earlier research on how people and communities responded to hurricanes. [2][3][4][5][6][7] In the time since these two hurricanes hit the Gulf Coast, a variety of research papers have been written about the impact of the storms on the areas most severely affected, especially New Orleans. [8][9][10][11] One area where there has been less study is how prepared potentially impacted populations were prior to the storms' arrivals, and how prepared they were to deal with evacuees who came to their communities in the aftermath of hurricanes.…”

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confidence: 99%

The Public's Preparedness for Hurricanes in Four Affected Regions

et al. 2007

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SYNOPSISObjectives. The purpose of this article is to look at how prepared people in communities outside the main areas devastated by Hurricanes Katrina and Rita thought they were for those storms and for major hurricanes in the near future, what factors were related to why people did not evacuate, and what concerns people had in communities that took in evacuees from the hurricanes.Methods. Telephone interviews were conducted with randomly selected adults in Baton Rouge, Houston, Dallas, and Mississippi/Alabama (excluding the immediate Gulf Coast) to assess respondents' knowledge, attitudes, and behaviors about hurricane preparedness and response to Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.Results. The surveys found a sizeable proportion of respondents who might not, for a number of reasons, comply with future orders to evacuate. A substantial proportion reported that they were not prepared for another major hurricane and indicated a desire for more information about how to prepare for future hurricanes. In communities that reported taking in large numbers of evacuees, residents expressed concern about the impact of the evacuees on their community. Conclusion.Evacuating communities involves a number of concrete problems that were not adequately addressed in the cases of Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. Responses to these surveys indicate a need for more comprehensive hurricane disaster planning.

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Before the wind: A study of the response to Hurricane Carla. (Publication 1095, Disaster Study No. 19).

Cited by 19 publications

References 0 publications

The perceived landfall location of evacuees from Hurricane Gustav

The perceived landfall location of evacuees from Hurricane Gustav

Pre-landfall evacuee perception of the meteorological hazards associated with Hurricane Gustav

The Public's Preparedness for Hurricanes in Four Affected Regions

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