Au service de l'analyse dynamique des opinions

Stimson, James A.; Tiberj, Vincent; Thiébaut, Cyrille

doi:10.3917/rfsp.605.0901

Cited by 15 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 5 publications

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“…In order to deal with data heterogeneity, we resorted to the “public mood” indicator developed by Stimson in his study of liberalism versus conservatism in the United States (1999). Based on the “Dyadic Ratio Algorithm”, the measure of public mood has been used increasingly to create a single public opinion indicator from heterogeneous data sets (Baumgartner et al 2008; Stimson et al 2010). The “public mood” is an aggregate measure, based on survey marginals.…”

Section: Nuclear Power and French Citizens: Beyond The Myth Of A Lovementioning

confidence: 99%

Policy beyond politics? Public opinion, party politics and the French pro-nuclear energy policy

Brouard¹,

Guinaudeau²

2014

J. Pub. Pol.

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At first sight, French nuclear energy policy offers a textbook example of how technical, constitutional and economic restrictions, powerful interest groups and path dependence constrain democratic responsiveness. This paper uses what might seem to be an unlikely case in order to question explanations of policy choices in terms of technocracy, path dependence and interest groups against the background of an under-estimated factor: party and coalition strategies. The original data collected on public attitudes towards nuclear energy and the attention dedicated to this issue in the media, as well as in the parliamentary and electoral arenas, show that the effect of public opinion is conditioned by party incentives to politicise the issue at stake. In other words, parties and coalition-making constraints act as a mediating variable between citizens’ preferences and policy choices. These findings point to the need to integrate this conditional variable into analyses of responsiveness and models of policymaking.

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Section: Nuclear Power and French Citizens: Beyond The Myth Of A Lovementioning

confidence: 99%

Policy beyond politics? Public opinion, party politics and the French pro-nuclear energy policy

Brouard¹,

Guinaudeau²

2014

J. Pub. Pol.

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“…It is measured from thousands of survey questions asking about preferences for more or less government in the domain of social policy. Measures of policy mood have been developed for a multitude of countries, and efforts to explain the dynamics of policy mood have proliferated to countries as diverse as Britain (Bartle, Dellepiane-Avellaneda, and Stimson 2011; Green and Jennings 2012), France (Stimson, Tiberj, and Thiébaut 2010; Stimson, Thiebaut, and Tiberj 2012; Brouard and Guinaudeau 2015), Mexico (Baker 2015), Spain (Bartle, Bosch, and Orriols 2014), Portugal, Germany, and Japan.…”

Section: Applicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

A Bounds Approach to Inference Using the Long Run Multiplier

Webb¹,

Linn²,

Lebo³

2019

Polit. Anal.

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Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001) (PSS) proposed a bounds procedure for testing for the existence of long run cointegrating relationships between a unit root dependent variable ($y_{t}$) and a set of weakly exogenous regressors $\boldsymbol{x}_{t}$ when the analyst does not know whether the independent variables are stationary, unit root, or mutually cointegrated processes. This procedure recognizes the analyst’s uncertainty over the nature of the regressors but not the dependent variable. When the analyst is uncertain whether $y_{t}$ is a stationary or unit root process, the test statistics proposed by PSS are uninformative for inference on the existence of a long run relationship (LRR) between $y_{t}$ and $\boldsymbol{x}_{t}$. We propose the long run multiplier (LRM) test statistic as a means of testing for LRRs without knowing whether the series are stationary or unit roots. Using stochastic simulations, we demonstrate the behavior of the test statistic given uncertainty about the univariate dynamics of both $y_{t}$ and $\boldsymbol{x}_{t}$, illustrate the bounds of the test statistic, and generate small sample and approximate asymptotic critical values for the upper and lower bounds for a range of sample sizes and model specifications. We demonstrate the utility of the bounds framework for testing for LRRs in models of public policy mood and presidential success.

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“…The literature is now too extensive for citation. It has found application in Britain (Bartle et al, 2010; Green and Jennings, 2012; McGann, 2013), France (Brouard and Guinaudeau, 2015; Stimson et al, 2010; Stimson et al, 2012), Europe (Guinaudeau and Schnatterer, 2017), Mexico (Baker, 2015), with efforts underway or completed in Spain (Bartle et al, 2014), Portugal, Germany, and Japan. In the USA and Europe, it has found application for explaining public policy (Erikson et al, 2002; Bartle et al, 2010).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Dyad Ratios Algorithm for Estimating Latent Public Opinion

Stimson

2018

Bulletin of Sociological Methodology/Bulletin de Méthodologie S

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In the study of longitudinal movements in public opinion it is usually the case that data are abundant, but irregular. Both cases (times) and variables are numerous, but it is never the case that all cases are available for any one variable. The dyad ratios algorithm was created to make dimensional analysis possible for this perverse data structure. The central logic of the dyad ratios algorithm is explained. Central focus is on the use of ratios as a starting point, the recursive estimation procedure, validity estimation by iterative procedure and the bootstrapping of standard errors. The ability of the algorithm to estimate a known longitudinal path is tested with artificial data. Then dyad ratios is compared to principal components analysis for a particular real data problem where both are possible. A final section makes a limited comparison between dyad ratios and item response theory.

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Au service de l'analyse dynamique des opinions

Cited by 15 publications

References 5 publications

Policy beyond politics? Public opinion, party politics and the French pro-nuclear energy policy

Policy beyond politics? Public opinion, party politics and the French pro-nuclear energy policy

A Bounds Approach to Inference Using the Long Run Multiplier

The Dyad Ratios Algorithm for Estimating Latent Public Opinion

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