2014
DOI: 10.1111/ecin.12154
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Astronomics in Action: The Graduate Earnings Premium and the Dragon Effect in Singapore

Abstract: This paper investigates the return to university education in Singapore using a new estimation strategy related to Chinese traditions where children born in the Year of the Dragon are believed to be superior. Because parents might time the arrival of their offspring on a Dragon year, this causes the Dragon cohort to be larger and university entry to be more competitive. First, we find evidence of a negative "Dragon effect" on university educational attainment. Then, using it as an estimation strategy, we find … Show more

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Cited by 17 publications
(13 citation statements)
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“…Even though Chinese superstition is found to lead the dragon cohort to face fierce educational competition (Sim ), to generate worse performance for individual investors (Bhattacharya et al ) and to add no supportive evidence for dragons being more successful overall (Wong and Yung ), my results may still reconcile with this prior literature because of survivorship bias. Specifically, dragon CEOs are those remaining after multiple elimination competition throughout their lives.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 49%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…Even though Chinese superstition is found to lead the dragon cohort to face fierce educational competition (Sim ), to generate worse performance for individual investors (Bhattacharya et al ) and to add no supportive evidence for dragons being more successful overall (Wong and Yung ), my results may still reconcile with this prior literature because of survivorship bias. Specifically, dragon CEOs are those remaining after multiple elimination competition throughout their lives.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 49%
“…Sim () documents a negative dragon effect on university educational attainment in Singapore. According to his argument, a more competitive university entry due to a larger dragon cohort is to blame, because parents time the arrival of their offspring on a dragon year.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Certainly, the often cited "graduate premium" is a ubiquitous force for good in our society with real benefits and the graduating student enjoys a wider range of societal benefits that subsequently drive economic growth (King & Ritchie, 2013). A successfully graduating student can expect average graduate earnings that exceed those of non-graduates over the course of their lifetime (see e.g., Pericles-Rospigliosi, Greener, Bourner, & Sheehan, 2014;Walker & Zhu, 2013;Sim, 2015). The graduate premium also manifests itself as a faster professional trajectory leading to a greater lifetime earning potential and ultimately an overall better quality of life (Holmes & Mayhew, 2016).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Higher education is indeed, and will always be, a good thing -certainly the often cited "graduate premium" is a ubiquitous force for good in our society with real benefits and the graduating student enjoys a wider range of societal benefits that subsequently drive economic growth (King & Ritchie, 2013). A successfully graduating student can expect average graduate earnings that exceed those of non-graduates over the course of their lifetime (see e.g., Pericles-Rospigliosi, Greener, Bourner, & Sheehan, 2014;Walker & Zhu, 2013;Sim, 2015). The graduate premium also manifests itself as a faster professional trajectory leading to a greater lifetime earning potential and ultimately an overall better quality of life (Holmes & Mayhew, 2016).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%