Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza–related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare

Wieck, Christine; Schlüter, Simon Wilhelm; Britz, Wolfgang

doi:10.1111/j.1467-9701.2012.01461.x

Cited by 15 publications

(13 citation statements)

References 20 publications

(35 reference statements)

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“…The welfare implications can complement the results regarding the impact of standards on trade flows, which is negative in most cases, and thus, enriches the discussion of the impact of food safety standards. Wieck et al (2012) developed a calibrated spatial simulation model (combined with a gravity model) to examine the effect on welfare of demand and supply curve shifts following a change in import bans to control avian influenza. They used data for the major poultry meat exporting countries, namely, Brazil, China, France, Germany, Netherland, and the United States (US).…”

Section: The Effect Of Standards On Demand Supply and Welfarementioning

confidence: 99%

Food Safety Standards and International Trade: The Impact on Developing Countries’ Export Performance

Honda

Otsuki

Wilson³

2015

Food Safety, Market Organization, Trade and Development

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The expansion of food safety standards in regulations has introduced new complexity in trade policy dialogues and efforts to expand trade in agricultural products. A loss of competitiveness due to the costs required to comply with these standards has arisen concern among exporting firms, particularly those in developing countries. This chapter reviews and synthesizes existing studies that quantify the impact of food safety standards with particular attention to developing countries' access to international markets. Based on the empirical studies using country-level data such as those using the gravity models, food safety standards have an adverse effect on trade in general. Furthermore, this adverse trade effect is likely to be greater for developing countries than developed countries. The firm-level studies generally demonstrate the adverse effect of food safety standards to impose direct/indirect and one-time/recurring costs on exporting firms in developing countries. In contrast, some of the country-and firm-level studies suggest the presence of the demand-enhancing effect of standards. However, the net effect of tightened food safety standards on developing countries appears to be generally negative according to the studies to assess the demand and supply impact of food safety standards because the tradecost effect tends to outweigh the demand-enhancing effect. Given this extensive literature review, this chapter highlights the importance of a concerted effort

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Section: The Effect Of Standards On Demand Supply and Welfarementioning

confidence: 99%

Food Safety Standards and International Trade: The Impact on Developing Countries’ Export Performance

Honda

Otsuki

Wilson³

2015

Food Safety, Market Organization, Trade and Development

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“…Empirical studies also show that the effects of tariffs on the poultry trade are not significant (Wieck et al . ). However, in order to distinguish the potential impact of tariffs on the poultry trade from the potential impact on AI outbreaks, two dummies, namely WTO ijt , and FTA ijt , are included in our econometric model.…”

Section: Theory and Methodologymentioning

confidence: 97%

“…The literature on the impact of AI and related NTMs on the poultry trade can be grouped into two types: (i) simulations of the effects of AI outbreaks on trade and welfare in major countries and regions (Peterson and Orden ; Djunaidi and Djunaidi ; Wieck et al . ); and (ii) empirical trade flow analysis on the impacts of AI outbreaks on NTMs, focused mainly on developed countries (Paarlberg et al . ; Taha ; Disdier et al .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Avian influenza, non‐tariff measures and the poultry exports of China

Zhou

Lei

2018

Aus J Agri & Res Econ

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This paper focuses on the direct impact of avian influenza outbreaks and the impact of the consequent non‐tariff measures (NTMs) on the international poultry trade. Using monthly export data from China and its 122 poultry importing countries, a random‐effect gravity model has been adopted. Emphasising the agri‐food trade in a global value chain context, the research analysis distinguishes between ‘agri‐food goods’ (mostly uncooked poultry products) and ‘processed goods’ (mostly cooked poultry products). The results show that domestic avian influenza outbreaks have a significant negative impact on a country's poultry imports compared with such outbreaks in exporting countries. Moreover, NTMs induced by avian influenza reduce the uncooked poultry trade but temporarily increase the cooked poultry trade. However, with a time‐lag, the cooked poultry trade may soon face increasing NTMs. The results also imply that developing countries that attempt to export agri‐food products to developed countries should increase and enhance processed food production.

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“…Maskus et al., ) and case studies dealing with specific factors such as maximum residue levels (e.g. Drogué and DeMaria, ; Wieck et al., ) also can be used to implicitly estimate the effects of NTBs.…”

Section: Gravity Modellingmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Effect of Aggregation Bias: AnNTB‐modelling Analysis of Turkey's Agro‐food Trade with theEU

2016

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We explore how different data aggregation levels affect the gravity estimates of non‐tariff barriers (NTBs) in the agro‐food sector, and we examine their related impacts on policy simulations of an expansion to the European Union (EU) that would include Turkey. We calculate two sets of ad valorem equivalents (AVEs) of NTBs using the gravity approach to disaggregated and aggregated Central Product Classification data for 15 Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) agro‐food sectors. We find that the AVEs of NTBs vary substantially across products and that using aggregated data primarily results in greater effects of NTBs. In a second step, we incorporate the AVEs of NTBs into the GTAP model to evaluate Turkey's EU membership and conclude that aggregation bias has considerable effects on both the estimation of NTBs and the general equilibrium simulation results. Utilising different data aggregation levels leads to a great variability of trade costs of NTBs and, hence, to misleading trade and welfare effects.

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Assessment of the Impact of Avian Influenza–related Regulatory Policies on Poultry Meat Trade and Welfare

Cited by 15 publications

References 20 publications

Food Safety Standards and International Trade: The Impact on Developing Countries’ Export Performance

Food Safety Standards and International Trade: The Impact on Developing Countries’ Export Performance

Avian influenza, non‐tariff measures and the poultry exports of China

The Effect of Aggregation Bias: AnNTB‐modelling Analysis of Turkey's Agro‐food Trade with theEU

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