Application of Decomposition Methods in Short-Term Forecasting of Overall Electric Load of Energy System

Abstract

Based on the performed researches the method of decomposition of graphs of total electric loading of power system with application of a method of Hilbert-Huang is improved. This approach allows obtaining a homogeneous basic component of electrical load and temperature component, which has a close correlation with air temperature, which improves the accuracy of short-term forecasting. The results of testing the developed mathematical model are given. Ref. 9, fig. 1, table.