Anticipating novel conservation risks of increased human access to remote regions with warming

Post, Eric; Brodie, Jedediah F.

doi:10.1186/s40665-015-0011-y

Cited by 5 publications

(7 citation statements)

References 39 publications

(54 reference statements)

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…And even under intermediate RCP4.5 and RCP6.0 scenarios, large-scale impacts to ice-dependent AMMs are virtually certain; specifically, reductions in abundance coupled with range shifts and impacts to life history. Furthermore, expected increases in human activity in marine and coastal zones in an ice-free Arctic in summer, such as offshore oil and gas drilling or trans-Arctic shipping, are likely to result in cumulative negative impacts on AMMs ( 46 – 48 ). Improved monitoring, especially for data-deficient species such as Atlantic and Pacific walrus, will be important for improving AMM population status updates critical for ongoing development of adaptive management and conservation policy.…”

Section: How Rapidly Is Arctic Sea Ice Diminishing and What Are Likementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Maintaining and expanding these efforts will provide considerable value in scenario planning and policy development in anticipation of ongoing climate change and associated impacts ( 150 ). Despite uncertainties concerning precise mechanisms linking large-scale abiotic and ecological dynamics in, e.g., the Arctic, calls have already arisen for multinational cooperation and policy shifts in anticipation of further changes ( 25 , 48 , 151 ). Existing multinational agreements provide encouraging exemplars of the nature of engagement and cooperation likely necessary for mitigation and adaptation as Earth inches toward 2°C mean warming.…”

Section: How Will Continued Arctic Warming Affect Tundra Primary Prodmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Arctic is experiencing an increase in shipping, tourism, and natural resource extraction facilitated by easier access and propelled by global demand ( 48 , 154 ). Interest in shorter routes and reduced transit times over the next few decades ( 151 ) has prompted investment in infrastructure and international partnerships ( 154 ).…”

Section: How Will Continued Arctic Warming Affect Tundra Primary Prodmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world

et al. 2019

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Over the past decade, the Arctic has warmed by 0.75°C, far outpacing the global average, while Antarctic temperatures have remained comparatively stable. As Earth approaches 2°C warming, the Arctic and Antarctic may reach 4°C and 2°C mean annual warming, and 7°C and 3°C winter warming, respectively. Expected consequences of increased Arctic warming include ongoing loss of land and sea ice, threats to wildlife and traditional human livelihoods, increased methane emissions, and extreme weather at lower latitudes. With low biodiversity, Antarctic ecosystems may be vulnerable to state shifts and species invasions. Land ice loss in both regions will contribute substantially to global sea level rise, with up to 3 m rise possible if certain thresholds are crossed. Mitigation efforts can slow or reduce warming, but without them northern high latitude warming may accelerate in the next two to four decades. International cooperation will be crucial to foreseeing and adapting to expected changes.

show abstract

Section: How Rapidly Is Arctic Sea Ice Diminishing and What Are Likementioning

confidence: 99%

Section: How Will Continued Arctic Warming Affect Tundra Primary Prodmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: How Will Continued Arctic Warming Affect Tundra Primary Prodmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world

et al. 2019

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…One such species is the Banded green sunbird (Anthreptes rubritorques), a forest-dependent altitudinal migrant endemic to the Eastern Arc Mountains, which is now listed as a Threatened species due to habitat loss through deforestation (BirdLife International 2017). Conservation efforts must prioritize areas of rapidly vanishing habitat, especially where these intersect with forecasts of climate change impacts on habitat availability, and particularly in instances where highly endemic species face extinction (Post and Brodie 2015).…”

Section: Conserving Systems Of Vertical Migrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonality, niche management, and vertical migration in landscapes of relief

John¹,

Post²

2021

Preprint

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Landscapes of vertical relief, such as mountains and continental slopes, intensify ecological and climatological variation within narrow spatial windows. Seasonal vertical migrants exploit this variation during their residence in, and movements between, vertically stratified seasonal ranges. Animals in terrestrial, marine, and even human-ecological systems undergo similar patterns of seasonal vertical movements. The diversity of arenas in which vertical migration evolved lends insight to the factors promoting seasonal use of landscapes of relief. Because animals must contend with both endogenous circannual rhythms and exogenous environmental seasonality, vertical migrants may be sensitive to inconsistent change across stratified seasonal ranges under climate change. To better understand how ongoing and future climatic and environmental changes are likely to impact vertical migrants, we examine vertical migration in the context of niche tracking and niche switching. Whereas niche trackers minimize variation in realized environmental conditions throughout their seasonal movements, niche switchers undergo seasonal transitions in realized niche space. These strategies mediate the relationship between migrants and their changing environment, and can be used to forecast impacts of future change and effectively conserve systems of vertical migration. Niche tracking may be hindered by inconsistent or unpredictable environmental change along a single niche axis across strata, while niche switching may be sensitive to incongruous spatiotemporal change across factors. We suggest that climate change will affect seasonal patterns in vertical environments discontinuously across time, space, and strata, and that vertical migrants are likely to face additional anthropogenic threats that interact with environmental seasonality. Conservation of vertical migrants should prioritize the availability of, and facilitate movement between, stratified seasonal ranges.

show abstract

“…For instance, understanding climate‐species interactions at a mechanistic level permits modeling extinction probabilities under different future scenarios 9 . These and other models can inform conservation strategies to mitigate the effects of climate change, such as the location and design of protected areas 10 that currently may not sufficiently protect vulnerable species from climate change 11 …”

Section: Climate Change Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing the state of knowledge of contemporary climate change and primates

Bernard

Marshall

2020

Evolutionary Anthropology

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

In recent years, interest in understanding the effects of climate change on species and ecological systems has sharply increased. We quantify and contextualize the current state of knowledge about the effects of contemporary climate change on non‐human primates, a taxon of great ecological and anthropological significance. Specifically, we report findings from a systematic literature search designed to assess the allocation of research effort on primates and climate change and consider how the current distribution of knowledge may be influencing our understanding of the topic. We reveal significant phylogenetic and geographic gaps in our knowledge, which is strongly biased towards lemurs, apes, and a relatively small subset of primate range countries. We show that few analyses investigate changes in primate foods relative to changes in primates themselves or their habitats, and observe that few longitudinal datasets are of sufficient duration to detect effects on the generational scale. We end by identifying areas of research inquiry that would advance our theoretical understanding of primate ecology, evolution, and adaptability, and meaningfully contribute to primate conservation.

show abstract

Anticipating novel conservation risks of increased human access to remote regions with warming

Cited by 5 publications

References 39 publications

The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world

The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world

Seasonality, niche management, and vertical migration in landscapes of relief

Assessing the state of knowledge of contemporary climate change and primates

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About