1979
DOI: 10.1056/nejm197906143002402
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Analysis of Probability as an Aid in the Clinical Diagnosis of Coronary-Artery Disease

Abstract: The diagnosis of coronary-artery disease has become increasingly complex. Many different results, obtained from tests with substantial imperfections, must be integrated into a diagnostic conclusion about the probability of disease in a given patient. To approach this problem in a practical manner, we reviewed the literature to estimate the pretest likelihood of disease (defined by age, sex and symptoms) and the sensitivity and specificity of four diagnostic tests: stress electrocardiography, cardiokymography, … Show more

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Cited by 2,434 publications
(1,015 citation statements)
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References 61 publications
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“…The simple Diamond and Forrester method we applied was recommended by the Danish Society of Cardiology, but it is not in general use in Denmark. What are the reasons for the discrepancy between our results and those of Diamond et al (12,15)? Despite several cross-tabulations, we did not find any evident clues.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 80%
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“…The simple Diamond and Forrester method we applied was recommended by the Danish Society of Cardiology, but it is not in general use in Denmark. What are the reasons for the discrepancy between our results and those of Diamond et al (12,15)? Despite several cross-tabulations, we did not find any evident clues.…”
Section: Discussioncontrasting
confidence: 80%
“…Therefore, in our analysis, we considered not only the type of angina, but also its severity by CCS grading. For estimating the pretest likelihood of coronary artery disease, we applied the original Diamond and Forrester approach (12), which was based exclusively on age, sex and the type of chest (40) 13 (13) 8 (8) 40 (38) 21 (20) 28 (27) 15 (14) 30 (29) CCS pain grade ≥2 (n=87) 30 (34) 36 (41) 13 (15) 8 (9) 32 (37) 22 (25) 21 (24) 13 (15) 22 (25) High pretest likelihood of 39 (39) 16 (16) 12 (12) 8 (8) 38 (38) 19 (19) 27 (27) 15 (15) 28 (28) coronary artery disease (n=99)…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…The methods performed in the phantom simulations were applied to 10 patients who had less than 5% likelihood of coronary artery disease (CAD) based on sequential Bayesian analysis of age, gender, and symptom classification (13) . Also, these patients had a normal baseline ECG, no induced ECG changes after pharmacological stress, no major risk factors for CAD or a history of previous cardiac events.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The subgroups of patients who were thought to have a high probability of disease were then segregated, and the correlation to significant angiographic coronary artery disease was determined. The first grouping was based on the chest pain classification from the Diamond and Forrester scale (9), which separates chest pain into three groups based on patient history. The chest pain types include typical angina, atypical angina and noncardiac chest pain.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%