Analysis of energy intensity trend as a tool for long-term forecasting of energy consumption

Эдер, Л В; Provornaya, I.V.

doi:10.1007/s12053-018-9656-2

Cited by 15 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…The existing body of knowledge acknowledges that energy efficiency enhances environmental quality. In contrast, several research studies have utilized energy intensity as a proxy for a country's overall energy efficiency ( 46 – 48 ). In their study, Hasanbeigi et al ( 47 ) argued that the primary drawbacks of taking energy intensity as a proxy for a country's energy productivity or efficiency are that the intensity rise may not always correspond to a real increase in the efficiency.…”

Section: Literature Reviewsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of Energy Productivity and Eco-Innovation on Sustainable Environment in Emerging Seven (E-7) Countries: Does Institutional Quality Matter?

Safi

Chen

Zheng

2022

Front. Public Health

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Emerging economies are showing promising growth and economic success, but the growth process has significantly increased carbon emissions in these countries and deteriorated environmental quality. Environmental degradation is an issue of serious concern as it is directly linked to human lives and health. Since the creation of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), the Emerging Seven (E-7) countries have struggled to meet the SDG targets, as it's been a challenge for them to lower carbon emissions and improve the quality of the environment. Thus, the present study explores the key factors that significantly affect environmental quality. This study examines the effect of institutional quality, energy productivity, and eco-innovation on consumption-based carbon dioxide (CCO2) emissions for E-7 economies. The cointegration analysis results show a long-run relationship between institutional quality, energy productivity, GDP, eco-innovation exports, imports, and CCO2 emissions. The results obtained using the cross-sectionally augmented autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) model show that institutional quality, energy productivity, eco-innovation, and exports adversely affect CCO2 emissions and improve environmental quality in the short and long run. In contrast, imports and GDP are positively linked with CCO2 emissions and contribute to environmental degradation. Policies that target institutional quality, eco-innovation, and energy productivity significantly affect CCO2 emissions and help improve environmental quality.

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Section: Literature Reviewsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impact of Energy Productivity and Eco-Innovation on Sustainable Environment in Emerging Seven (E-7) Countries: Does Institutional Quality Matter?

Safi

Chen

Zheng

2022

Front. Public Health

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“…The GDP of individual economies or purchasing power parity (PPP) can drastically change the calculations of energy intensity improvement [34]. It has been suggested that purchasing power parity (PPP) is the most correct approach as it is the real purchasing power of each GDP that will drive the energy use of an economy [51].…”

Section: Energy Intensity (Ei) = Energy/gdpmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…CO 2 emissions were the main contributor to climate change in a period between 1750-2005 [33,34]. A reduction in access to water, food availability, land use are the main threats of climate change to the life expectancy of human populations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Therefore, minimizing CO 2 emissions through the reduction of fossil fuel consumption and the increase in the use of renewable energy is essential [35]. CO2 emissions were the main contributor to climate change in a period between 1750-2005 [33,34]. A reduction in access to water, food availability, land use are the main threats of climate change to the life expectancy of human populations.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Trends of the Energy Intensity and CO2 Emissions Related to Final Energy Consumption in Ecuador: Scenarios of National and Worldwide Strategies

Arroyo

Miguel

2019

Sustainability

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Climate change and global warming are related to the demand for energy, energy efficiency, and CO 2 emissions. In this research, in order to project the trends in final energy demand, energy intensity, and CO 2 emission production in Ecuador during a period between 2000 and 2030, a model has been developed based on the dynamics of the systems supported by Vensim simulation models. The energy matrix of Ecuador has changed in recent years, giving more importance to hydropower. It is conclusive that, if industrialized country policies or trends on the use of renewable energy and energy efficiency were applied, the production of CO 2 emissions by 2030 in Ecuador would reach 42,191.4 KTCO 2 , a value well below the 75,182.6 KTCO 2 that would be seen if the current conditions are maintained. In the same way, by 2030, energy intensity would be reduced to 54% compared to the beginning of the simulation period.Between 1750 and 2011, cumulative anthropogenic CO 2 emissions to the atmosphere were 2040 ± 310 GTCO 2 . About 40% of these emissions have remained in the atmosphere (880 ± 35 GTCO 2 ) [5]; the rest have been removed from the atmosphere and stored on land (in plants and soils) and in the ocean. People's life expectancy is threatened by climate change through the limitation of access to water, food, medical care, and land. Therefore, it is important to reduce the consumption of fossil fuels and increase the use of renewable energy in order to minimize CO 2 emissions [13].Sustainability of power systems with high renewable energy penetration rates is a topic of major interest, especially when considering the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) production and the actual growing trend of energy consumption [6]. The transition from fossil fuels to RESs is an indispensable necessity if sustainable socio-economic systems are to be realized. RES variability now represents a major challenge when it comes to upgrading power systems. From a social and economic perspective, the RES share in meeting electricity demand has shown a steady growth [7]. The increasing renewable energy share in electricity generation as a result of several factors such as environmental constraints, technical and economic aspects, or social implications has led to a corresponding reduction in total CO 2 emissions [8].The energy return on investment (EROI) metric includes factors affecting the whole energy system that are not accounted for by the monetary costs of individual power plants (such as additional costs for the system related to distribution, intermittency of RES, etc.) [14][15][16][17][18][19][20]. The transition to new energy resources and to new energy conversion and storage devices will affect the fraction of energy reinvestment, which could have significant economic impacts [21][22][23][24][25][26]. Those RESs with a higher potential (i.e., wind, and solar) have been generally found to have a lower EROI standard (EROIst) than fossil fuels, especially when incorporating the energy costs of dealing with intermittency [9].Energy ...

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“…Thus, it represents a large share of the renewable energy in the structure of demand for transport energy. In addition, renewable energy in transport is represented by cars using natural gas and electricity [7]. According to British Petroleum [8], the number of electric vehicles will increase from 1.2 million in 2015 to 100 million in 2035, which is 6% of the world's fleet.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Identification of factors affecting sustainable development of renewable energy sources in transport

et al. 2019

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At present motor transport is one of the key components of the formation of a long-term policy of sustainable economic development. Analysis of the structure of energy consumption in motor transport is necessary for better understanding of the factors that affect the increase in the share of renewable energy sources in transport and the effectiveness of specific support measures for the transition to vehicles with minimal or no greenhouse gas emissions. Models of pooled regression, regression with random and fixed effects were built in order to reveal the influence of the chosen factors on the share of renewable energy and electricity in the structure of energy consumption by vehicles. The results of evaluation for 31 European countries in the 2005-2017 showed that the criterion, which allows identifying groups of countries, is the volume of environmental transport taxes per vehicle unit. Countries with higher taxation volumes has such influencing factors as Corruption Perceptions Index, Energy productivity, Total environmental taxes per capita and Employment in high- and medium-high technology manufacturing sectors and knowledge-intensive service sectors. Consumption in countries with lower tax differentiation is influenced by index of research intensity, Corruption Perceptions Index and Shares of environmental and labour taxes.

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Analysis of energy intensity trend as a tool for long-term forecasting of energy consumption

Cited by 15 publications

References 47 publications

The Impact of Energy Productivity and Eco-Innovation on Sustainable Environment in Emerging Seven (E-7) Countries: Does Institutional Quality Matter?

The Impact of Energy Productivity and Eco-Innovation on Sustainable Environment in Emerging Seven (E-7) Countries: Does Institutional Quality Matter?

The Trends of the Energy Intensity and CO2 Emissions Related to Final Energy Consumption in Ecuador: Scenarios of National and Worldwide Strategies

Identification of factors affecting sustainable development of renewable energy sources in transport

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