Analysis and modeling of extreme temperatures in several cities in northwestern Mexico under climate change conditions

García-Cueto, O. Rafael; Cavazos, Tereza; Grau, P. de; Santillán-Soto, Néstor

doi:10.1007/s00704-013-0933-x

Cited by 21 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…High values for this semi-arid location are recorded because of the sunny days [28,29]. Figure 2a shows the downward shortwave radiation and Figure 2b displays the upward shortwave radiation.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Radiation Balance of Urban Materials and Their Thermal Impact in Semi-Desert Region: Mexicali, México Study Case

et al. 2015

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Net radiation is an essential forcing of climate in the lower layers of Earth's atmosphere. In this paper, radiation balance is measured in clay soil and green grass, and is compared with three urban materials. These materials: asphalt, concrete and white painted elastomeric polystyrene roofing sheet are widely used in Mexicali, Baja California, México. This study was carried out during August of 2011, the hottest time of the year. The 24-hour average values of net radiation found were: 137.2 W·m −2 for asphalt, 119.1 for concrete, 104.6 for clay soil, 152 for green grass and 29.2 for the polystyrene insulation. The latter two types of materials are likely to be the most effective in reducing urban heat island effects. This variation in the radiation balance has widespread implications for human living conditions, as land cover change tends to be towards surfaces that have higher levels of net radiation.

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Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Radiation Balance of Urban Materials and Their Thermal Impact in Semi-Desert Region: Mexicali, México Study Case

et al. 2015

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“…13; Jones et al ., ). In Mexico for example, only few studies have focused on temperature (e.g., Peralta‐Hernández et al ., ; Gutiérrez‐Ruacho et al ., ; García‐Cueto et al ., ; ; López‐Díaz et al ., ; Cruz‐Rico et al ., ; Alvarez‐Olguin and Escalante‐Sandoval, ) and precipitation (Cavazos et al ., ; Arriaga‐Ramirez and Cavazos, ; Martinez‐Lopez et al ., ) trends using station data in some regions of the country. Increases of extreme summer precipitation in the North American monsoon (NAM) region have been associated with the intensification of tropical cyclones (Cavazos et al ., ; Arriaga‐Ramirez and Cavazos, ) and the negative phase of the AMO (Curtis, ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climatic trends and regional climate models intercomparison over the CORDEX‐CAM (Central America, Caribbean, and Mexico) domain

Cavazos

Luna‐Niño

Cerezo‐Mota

et al. 2019

Intl Journal of Climatology

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An intercomparison of three regional climate models (RCMs) (PRECIS‐HadRM3P, RCA4, and RegCM4) was performed over the Coordinated Regional Dynamical Experiment (CORDEX)—Central America, Caribbean, and Mexico (CAM) domain to determine their ability to reproduce observed temperature and precipitation trends during 1980–2010. Particular emphasis was given to the North American monsoon (NAM) and the mid‐summer drought (MSD) regions. The three RCMs show negative (positive) temperature (precipitation) biases over the mountains, where observations have more problems due to poor data coverage. Observations from the Climate Research Unit (CRU) and ERA‐Interim show a generalized warming over the domain. The most significant warming trend (≥0.34°C/decade) is observed in the NAM, which is moderately captured by the three RCMs, but with less intensity; each decade from 1970 to 2016 has become warmer than the previous ones, especially during the summer (mean and extremes); this warming appears partially related to the positive Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (+AMO). CRU, GPCP, and CHIRPS show significant decreases of precipitation (less than −15%/decade) in parts of the southwest United States and northwestern Mexico, including the NAM, and a positive trend (5–10%/decade) in June–September in eastern Mexico, the MSD region, and northern South America, but longer trends (1950–2017) are not statistically significant. RCMs are able to moderately simulate some of the recent trends, especially in winter. In spite of their mean biases, the RCMs are able to adequately simulate inter‐annual and seasonal variations. Wet (warm) periods in regions affected by the MSD are significantly correlated with the +AMO and La Niña events (+AMO and El Niño). Summer precipitation trends from GPCP show opposite signs to those of CRU and CHIRPS over the Mexican coasts of the southern Gulf of Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, and Cuba, possibly due to data limitations and differences in grid resolutions.

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“…There is a significant consensus that the frequency and intensity of some extreme climate events are expected to increase worldwide over the next 50 years (Donat et al 2013;García-Cueto et al 2014). Climate change is likely to produce more extreme events (Tramblay et al 2012), which could cause an increased probability of occurrence of events such as floods, droughts, heat waves, and snowstorms (García-Cueto et al 2014;O'Gorman 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Climate change is likely to produce more extreme events (Tramblay et al 2012), which could cause an increased probability of occurrence of events such as floods, droughts, heat waves, and snowstorms (García-Cueto et al 2014;O'Gorman 2014). Changes in extreme climate events are crucial to society, the economy, and the environment because those events can always cause human losses and economic damages (Chang et al 2013;Gregow et al 2012).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes in Climate Extremes and Catastrophic Events in the Mongolian Plateau from 1951 to 2012

Wang

Yao

Jiang

et al. 2016

Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology

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The spatiotemporal changes in 21 indices of extreme temperature and precipitation for the Mongolian Plateau from 1951 to 2012 were investigated on the basis of daily temperature and precipitation data from 70 meteorological stations. Changes in catastrophic events, such as droughts, floods, and snowstorms, were also investigated for the same period. The correlations between catastrophic events and the extreme indices were examined. The results show that the Mongolian Plateau experienced an asymmetric warming trend. Both the cold extremes and warm extremes showed greater warming at night than in the daytime. The spatial changes in significant trends showed a good homogeneity and consistency in Inner Mongolia. Changes in the precipitation extremes were not as obvious as those in the temperature extremes. The spatial distributions in changes of precipitation extremes were complex. A decreasing trend was shown for total precipitation from west to east as based on the spatial distribution of decadal trends. Drought was the most serious extreme disaster, and prolonged drought for longer than 3 yr occurred about every 7-11 yr. An increasing trend in the disaster area was apparent for flood events from 1951 to 2012. A decreasing trend was observed for the maximum depth of snowfall from 1951 to 2012, with a decreased average maximum depth of 10 mm from the 1990s.

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Analysis and modeling of extreme temperatures in several cities in northwestern Mexico under climate change conditions

Cited by 21 publications

References 39 publications

Radiation Balance of Urban Materials and Their Thermal Impact in Semi-Desert Region: Mexicali, México Study Case

Radiation Balance of Urban Materials and Their Thermal Impact in Semi-Desert Region: Mexicali, México Study Case

Climatic trends and regional climate models intercomparison over the CORDEX‐CAM (Central America, Caribbean, and Mexico) domain

Changes in Climate Extremes and Catastrophic Events in the Mongolian Plateau from 1951 to 2012

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