Analyse écologique des déterminants de la participation électorale municipale au Québec

Couture, Jérôme; Breux, Sandra; Bhérer, Laurence

doi:10.1017/s0008423914001152

Cited by 16 publications

(23 citation statements)

References 47 publications

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“…Several factors support that assertion. First, the effect of electorate size on voter turnout is significant, confirming our previous work on Quebec municipalities (Couture et al, 2014). This size effect is consistent with the findings of Oliver et al (2012) andGaardsted Frandsen (2002), which show that participation declines as municipal electorate size increases.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 89%

Fewer voters, higher stakes? The applicability of rational choice for voter turnout in Quebec municipalities

Breux

Couture

Goodman

2016

Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space

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Municipal voter turnout is often considered to be a function of electorate size. According to the rational choice theory of voter behavior, a rational voter is more inclined to abstain in the presence of larger electorates, and more likely to participate in smaller ones. This article examines the impact of electorate size on voter turnout using a multivariate regression model to explain voter participation in Quebec municipalities in the 2009 and 2013 local elections ( N = 1040). Several other assumptions pertaining to the rational voter are also tested. We find that rational choice theory explains 45% of municipal voter participation in these Quebec elections and that it supports the probability of pivotal voting. Our analysis also confirms that the number of electors, number of mayoral candidates, tax rate, presence of a political party, and incumbency have different effects on participation in small and large municipalities.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 89%

Fewer voters, higher stakes? The applicability of rational choice for voter turnout in Quebec municipalities

Breux

Couture

Goodman

2016

Environment and Planning C: Politics and Space

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“…The Canadian case is unusual because no national study of voter turnout at the local level has been conducted to date. In fact, the few existing studies of voter participation employ a broad range of data and were solely concerned with the province of Quebec (Couture et al, 2014). Turnout in Canadian local elections is therefore still a relatively unexplored field of study.…”

Section: The Canadian Casementioning

confidence: 99%

“…One result of this lack of study is that the factors that influence voter turnout in Canadian local elections remain largely unexplored. Studies of local turnout are sparse and, where this topic has been addressed, tend to focus on select cities within one or two provinces (Couture et al, 2014; McGregor and Spicer, 2016). With the exception of Walks's 2013 analysis, there is no pan-national or longitudinal profiles of Canadian local electoral participation similar to the study conducted by Caren of 38 major US cities (2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Turnout in Local Elections: Evidence from Canadian Cities, 2004–2014

Breux¹,

Couture

Koop

2017

Can J Pol Sci

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We provide the first wide-scale analysis of the factors that influence voter turnout in Canadian local elections. Drawing on original data from 300 municipal elections conducted from 2004 to 2014, we use ordinary least squares regression with panel-corrected standard errors for time series cross-sections to test explanatory hypotheses related to differences in institutional design, the social-spatial context of these elections, and local competitiveness. Our results show that, although institutional and sociospatial factors influence local turnout, the competitiveness of elections exercises the greatest influence on local electoral participation.

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“…In addition, participation by female candidates in local races increases voter turnout, particularly among other women (for example, De Paolo et al, 2014). While this affect has been called into question in Canada (Breux et al, 2017; Couture et al, 2014), the prospect of higher turnout as a result of more women participating as candidates justifies a closer examination of the phenomenon of female candidates.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Influences on the Number and Gender of Candidates in Canadian Local Elections

2018

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We explore influences on the number of candidates, and female candidates in particular, who contest mayoral elections in Canada. We draw on an original cross-national data set of election results from mayoral elections in Canada's 100 largest cities between 2006 and 2017. An average of 4.96 candidates contested mayoral elections in this period, and 16 per cent of all candidates were women. Density and mayoral prestige were related to higher numbers of candidates; in contrast, incumbent candidates and the availability of other elected positions were related to lower numbers. Notably, the presence of a female incumbent was related to higher numbers of women running for the position of mayor; in contrast, higher mayoral salaries were associated with an increase in the number of male but not female candidates. This analysis enhances our understanding of the factors underlying contested local elections, as well as the factors that appear to facilitate women contesting local elections.

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Analyse écologique des déterminants de la participation électorale municipale au Québec

Cited by 16 publications

References 47 publications

Fewer voters, higher stakes? The applicability of rational choice for voter turnout in Quebec municipalities

Fewer voters, higher stakes? The applicability of rational choice for voter turnout in Quebec municipalities

Turnout in Local Elections: Evidence from Canadian Cities, 2004–2014

Influences on the Number and Gender of Candidates in Canadian Local Elections

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