Analisis Simulasi Kebijakan Untuk Meningkatkan Produksi Kedelai Nasional

Abstract

<em>Soybean is the main strategic food commodities after paddy and maize, as stated in the UU No. 7 Tahun 1996. Since 2009 until now, national soybean consumption has reach about 2 illion tones per year, but national soybean production just able to satisfy around 900 thousand tones per year, so it drawbacks met from imported soybeans. Contribution quantity of soybean imports reached more 70 persen of the domestic soybean demand per year, this is opposite to the Government aim has launched several years ago to become self-sufficient in soybeans at 2014. So that, we need a policy government to support soybeans self-sufficiency program. Soybeans self-sufficient will be achieved when the national soybeans production can meet the domestic soybeans demand, so that, the policy needs to be done is how to increase the quantity of the national soybeans production. In this study, a simulation analysis was conducted to provide the some alternative policy to improve soybeans production. The results of the analysis concluded that the national soybeans production will increase, at least 15 percent per year by increasing 25 percent the quantity of soybean seeds, 15 percent area harvested, 20 percent of imported soybean prices, 25 percent of national soybeans price, 30 percent soybean import tariffs, and the last is decreasing 150 percent of the quantity soybean imports. Simulation is determined based on the average growth rate of the historical data used.</em>

Study of Policy Innovation Strategy to Accelerate Achievement of Indonesian Soybean Self-sufficiency in 2035

“…Many factors make local soybean prices, such as farmers' access to markets, soybean agricultural land area that decreases so that production decreases and results in soybean scarcity, the quality of local soybean products that are inferior to imported soybeans (Aldillah et al, 2014). The comparison of corn farming and imports with domestic soybean farming is not competitive.…”

STRATEGI PENGEMBANGAN USAHA OLAHAN KEDELAI (Studi Kasus di CV. Intan Alami, Kabupeten Garut)

“…Gold from the Soil karena tinggi dan seimbangnya kualitas asam amino protein yang dikandungnya (Aldillah, 2015).…”

Analisis Determinan Volume Impor Kedelai Indonesia menggunakan Metode ECM (Error Correction Model) Tahun 1991-2020

“…Jumlah produksi kedelai Indonesia mengalami fluktuatif dan masih kurang mencukupi permintaan kedelai nasional. Hal tersebut selaras dengan penelitian yang dilakukan oleh (Aldillah, 2015). Pada ekonomi jangka panjang diprediksi bahwa produksi kedelai tidak akan meningkat signifikan, sehingga akan membuat importir dan produsen pengolah tahu dan tempe akan berupaya memenuhi kebutuhan kedelai melalui impor.…”