Análisis de las funciones de importación y exportación de México 1980-2000

Díaz, Daniel G. Garcés

doi:10.36095/banxico/di.2002.12

Cited by 3 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 4 publications

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“…3 Moreno-Brid (2002) estimated import demand functions for 1985-96 compared with 1970-84, and again found that the income elasticity increased while also finding that the RER elasticity diminished. Garcés (2008) found that the RER elasticities of imports of capital, consumption, and intermediate goods (excluding maquiladoras) all fell between 1980-89 and 1991-2000. Some studies have also estimated equations for export demand or the trade balance.…”

Section: Literature Review and Analytical Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This result is not sensitive to the inclusion or exclusion of maquiladora trade, as Ibarra (2011a) used a data set that excluded maquiladoras whileBlecker and Ibarra (2013) used one that included them Garcés (2008). found an increase in the export elasticity of non-maquiladora intermediate imports between1980-89 and 1991-2000, but he did not distinguish between manufactures and other exports.…”

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confidence: 98%

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Structural change, the real exchange rate and the balance of payments in Mexico, 1960–2012

Ibarra¹,

Blecker²

2015

CAMECO

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This paper estimates a structural model of the balance of payments, with disaggregated exports (manufactures and other) and imports (final and intermediate), and a reduced form model of the trade balance for the Mexican economy. The analysis identifies structural changes in the composition of Mexico's trade and the parameters that affect it across five subperiods marked by statistical breakpoints. The results indicate that a tightening of the balance-of-payments constraint may account for the post-liberalization slowdown in Mexico's growth only during certain subperiods, and that the impact of real exchange rate changes on the trade balance has diminished, most likely as a result of the increasing integration of export industries into global supply chains. The results also suggest an asymmetry, whereby a country cannot sustain growth above the rate consistent with balance-of-payments equilibrium, as expected, but it can grow persistently below that rate when other constraints are more binding.

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Section: Literature Review and Analytical Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

mentioning

confidence: 98%

Structural change, the real exchange rate and the balance of payments in Mexico, 1960–2012

Ibarra¹,

Blecker²

2015

CAMECO

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“…Standard equations for export volume and export price do not seem very mutually compatible; at the same time, there is a very low effect of domestic prices on export prices (implying highly competitive export markets), and a very low impact of relative export prices on the volume of exports. Therefore, export volume and price equations are estimated as a system containing parameter constraints across equations (for a review of the traditional modelling of Spanish imports and exports, see Escribano [1999] or García and Gordo [1998]).…”

Section: The Trade Blockmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Spanish Block of the Escb-Multi-Country Model

Willman

Estrada

2002

SSRN Journal

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Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos

Morones Carrillo

2016

Ensayos

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El presente documento analiza el cumplimiento de la Ley de Thirlwall para México en el periodo 1993-2014. Se incluyen pruebas de raíz unitaria y cointegración que incorporan choques estructurales endógenos. El vector de cointegración en el contexto teórico sugiere una restricción al crecimiento de México por la balanza de pagos. La tasa de crecimiento del país en el periodo es mayor a la consistente con el equilibrio de balanza de pagos, lo que implica déficit comercial. Los resultados sugieren un cambio estructural de tal forma que se desincentiven las importaciones y se agregue mayor valor a las exportaciones.

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Análisis de las funciones de importación y exportación de México 1980-2000

Cited by 3 publications

References 4 publications

Structural change, the real exchange rate and the balance of payments in Mexico, 1960–2012

Structural change, the real exchange rate and the balance of payments in Mexico, 1960–2012

The Spanish Block of the Escb-Multi-Country Model

Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos

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