1999
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0088(199907)19:9<951::aid-joc372>3.3.co;2-a
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An expert system‐based approach to prediction of year‐to‐year climatic variations in the North Atlantic region

Abstract: A novel approach to climate forecasting on an interannual time scale is described. The approach is based on concepts and techniques from artificial intelligence and expert systems. The suitability of this approach to climate diagnostics and forecasting problems and its advantages compared with conventional forecasting techniques are discussed. The article highlights some practical aspects of the development of climatic expert systems (CESs) and describes an implementation of such a system for the North Atlanti… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
(1 citation statement)
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References 55 publications
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“…[6] With abrupt changes we mean a sudden stepwise change in the time series. We used three methods to detect abrupt changes in long-term time series, the Excel add-in ''Sequential Regime Shift Detection version 3.2'' (SRSD) (http://www.beringclimate.noaa.gov, see also Rodionov and Overland [2005], Rodionov and Martin [1999], and Rodionov [2004), the software Change-Point Analyzer (version 2.3, Taylor Enterprises Inc, http://www.variation.com) and the manually performed CUSUM/Pettit-test [Buishand, 1982;Lanzante, 1996;Pettitt, 1979]. Since all three methods revealed similar results we focused on the first method.…”
Section: Abrupt Change Detectionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…[6] With abrupt changes we mean a sudden stepwise change in the time series. We used three methods to detect abrupt changes in long-term time series, the Excel add-in ''Sequential Regime Shift Detection version 3.2'' (SRSD) (http://www.beringclimate.noaa.gov, see also Rodionov and Overland [2005], Rodionov and Martin [1999], and Rodionov [2004), the software Change-Point Analyzer (version 2.3, Taylor Enterprises Inc, http://www.variation.com) and the manually performed CUSUM/Pettit-test [Buishand, 1982;Lanzante, 1996;Pettitt, 1979]. Since all three methods revealed similar results we focused on the first method.…”
Section: Abrupt Change Detectionmentioning
confidence: 99%