2020
DOI: 10.3390/su12020560
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An Assessment and Spatial Modelling of Agricultural Land Abandonment in Spain (2015–2030)

Abstract: This article presents a study based on the outputs from the LUISA Territorial modelling platform (Joint Research Centre of the European Commission) focused on regional and local future projections of land abandonment between 2015 and 2030. Spain is taken as representative of one of the countries highly affected by agricultural land abandonment in the European Union. The most relevant factors driving land abandonment (biophysical, agroeconomics, farm structure and demographic) are described and mapped. Results … Show more

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Cited by 59 publications
(29 citation statements)
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“…All the Romanian LAU2 were retained in the analysis, both as candidates for an eventual spatial aggregation and demand points in the model. The potential accessibility function acts like a similarity measure between the features [34]. When the values of the indicator are high, the pairs of LAU2 i and j are aggregated in a new polygon labeled pseudo-LAU1.…”
Section: Datasets and Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…All the Romanian LAU2 were retained in the analysis, both as candidates for an eventual spatial aggregation and demand points in the model. The potential accessibility function acts like a similarity measure between the features [34]. When the values of the indicator are high, the pairs of LAU2 i and j are aggregated in a new polygon labeled pseudo-LAU1.…”
Section: Datasets and Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…According to historical database, the global farmland abandonment area was estimated at approximately 385-472 million square kilometer, accounting for 8-10% of the total cultivated land of the world in 2008 [21]. Some scholars view farmland abandonment as an opportunity for reversing the long term declines of forest, provision of ecosystem services, and habitat enhancement that re-naturalization of landscape provides [22][23][24][25], while others regard farmland abandonment as a threat to rural biodiversity that can cause serious environmental security, such as natural hazards and habitat loss [26,27]. Regardless of the environmental impacts, farmland can lead to socio-economic effects, especially in terms of weakened farmers livelihoods, goods production (e.g.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is another process that is occurring in parallel with global warming and could contribute to the evolution of soil moisture and therefore agricultural drought in many areas of the IP, and in the same direction that the climate evolution and the results of the trend analysis point out. This is the abandonment of rural areas as a consequence of the depopulation that has been affecting large areas of Spain [88], Portugal [89], and all of Europe [90] in recent decades and will continue affecting in the next ones [91]. This abandonment has led to unprecedented vegetation regeneration and recovery of forested area [92].…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%