An Analysis of Economic Infrastructure Investment in South Africa

Perkins, Peter; Fedderke, Johannes; Luiz, John

doi:10.1111/j.1813-6982.2005.00014.x

Cited by 107 publications

(96 citation statements)

References 22 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Several authors have noted that technological systems, including transportation systems, move through successive periods of birth and development, growth and expansion, and saturation and maturity (e.g. Grübler, 1990;Perkins et al 2005). Extent of deployment plotted against time describes an S-curve, with the full growth cycle of transportation systems typically spanning about 60 to 70 years.…”

Section: The Systems Evolution Explanationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The lurch towards formalisation: Lessons from the implementation of BRT in Johannesburg, South Africa

Venter

2013

Research in Transportation Economics

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The City of Johannesburg, South Africa, implemented the first phase of its Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system named Rea Vaya between 2009 and 2011. The system design and organisational arrangements drew heavily on precedents from South America, especially insofar as BRT is used as an instrument for securing the transformation and formalisation of a fragmented and problematic informal public transport industry. Despite the inevitable transition problems, the formalisation scheme appears to be generally successful -an outcome that surprised many analysts as it follows a long history of mistrust, resistance, and unsuccessful interventions between government and the minibus taxi industry. The paper offers an analysis of the reasons for the successful transformation of participating taxi operators, by using a life-cycle analogy. We argue that the minibus-taxi industry in South Africa has reached a state of stasis and maturity, with limited opportunities for further growth in its present form. BRT, as it is implemented locally, offers opportunities for re-inventionfor moving onto new a potential growth trajectory -by overcoming the binding constraints of informality and by opening up new markets to operators. The life-cycle analysis also offers some insights into critical success factors that, if not met in the long run, could jeopardize the longevity and scalability of the formalisation project. The paper concludes with insights regarding the planning and management of BRT systems to maximize their potential for leveraging the formalisation of informal operators, both in South Africa and in other developing countries.

show abstract

Section: The Systems Evolution Explanationmentioning

confidence: 99%

The lurch towards formalisation: Lessons from the implementation of BRT in Johannesburg, South Africa

Venter

2013

Research in Transportation Economics

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In one of the earliest studies on fiscal policy impact, Perkins et al (2005) investigate the effects of public infrastructure investments on economic growth and find a bidirectional relationship between the variables. Ocran (2011), investigates the impact of fiscal policy on output and interest rate.…”

Section: Empirical Evidencementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Most of the debate in the literature on the transmission channel of fiscal policy has concentrated on non-African economies with the exception of a few authors (see, M'Amanja, Morrissey, & Lloyd, (2006) for Kenya and; Perkins, Fedderke, and Luiz (2005) for South Africa). To the best of our knowledge there is no study done for the South African economy that links the impact of fiscal shocks on employment whilst controlling for the external sector.…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Fiscal policy, employment, and output in South Africa: An open economy analysis

Mlilo

Kollamparambi

2016

JEFS

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

“…Manganese is among the four most strategic minerals in South Africa (SA) mainly, in part, due to its application in the steel-making process as a metallurgical alloy [25]. Prices of sinter and ferromanganese represent 20 per cent and 40 per cent improvement respectively on the price of manganese ores, due to the enhanced manganese content through these two processes [26].…”

Section: Mining and Minerals Contribution To The Economic Activitiesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modelling the Impact of Mining on Socio-Economic Infrastructure Development - A System Dynamics Approach

Maluleke

Pretorius

2016

SAJIE

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The contribution of mining activities to social infrastructure and human development is a complex socio-economic development issue in South Africa. Complexity theory has introduced a new approach to solving problems in social systems, recognising them as complex systems. The socio-economic development system in South Africa falls into this category of complex systems. Analysing such a system requires that a number of feedback loops and details about the issues be analysed simultaneously. This level of complexity is above a human's ability to comprehend without the aid of tools such as systems thinking and system dynamics. The causality between investment in infrastructure capacity and socio-economic development is dynamic. The relationship is influenced by exogenous feedback that, if not managed, is likely to reverse itself. This paper presents the results of a system dynamics modelling of the relationship, based on the principle of relative attractiveness developed in previous system dynamics research. A Monte Carlo analysis is used to determine the sensitivity of the system to changes in feedback. The paper concludes that the limits to growth in a socio-economic environment are determined by more factors than the availability of capital, and also include land capacity constraints and skills shortage. OPSOMMINGDie bydrae van mynbou-aktiwiteite tot sosiale infrastruktuur en menslike ontwikkeling is 'n komplekse sosio-ekonomiese ontwikkeling kwessie in Suid-Afrika. Die kompleksiteitsteorie het 'n nuwe benadering tot die oplossing van probleme in sosiale stelsels gebring deur hulle as komplekse stelsels te benader en die sosioekonomiese ontwikkeling in Suid-Afrika val binne hierdie kategorie van komplekse stelsels. Die ontleding van so 'n stelsel vereis dat 'n aantal terugvoerlusse en besonderhede rondom die kwessies gelyktydig ontleed word. Hierdie vlak van kompleksiteit is bo menslike vermoë om te verstaan sonder die hulp van gereedskap soos stelsel denke en -dinamika. Die verwantskap tussen belegging in kapasiteit infrastruktuur en sosio-ekonomiese ontwikkeling is dinamies. Die verwantskap word beïnvloed deur eksterne terugvoer, en indien dit nie bestuur word nie is die verwantskap geneig om ook in die omgekeerde rigting neerslag te vind. Die artikel bied die resultate van 'n dinamiese stelsels-modellering van die verwantskap wat gebaseer is op die beginsel van relatiewe aantreklikheid en wat ontwikkel is vanuit vorige stelseldinamika navorsing. 'n Monte Carlo analise word gebruik om die sensitiwiteit van die stelsel ten opsigte van verandering in terugvoer te bepaal. Een van die gevolgtrekkings in die navorsing is dat die grense van groei in 'n sosio-ekonomiese omgewing bepaal word deur meer faktore as die beskikbaarheid van kapitaal, wat die land kapasiteitsbeperkings en vaardigheidstekorte ook insluit.

show abstract

An Analysis of Economic Infrastructure Investment in South Africa

Abstract: This paper analyses long-term trends in the development of South Smith, 1996, 2001)

Cited by 107 publications

References 22 publications

The lurch towards formalisation: Lessons from the implementation of BRT in Johannesburg, South Africa

The lurch towards formalisation: Lessons from the implementation of BRT in Johannesburg, South Africa

Fiscal policy, employment, and output in South Africa: An open economy analysis

Modelling the Impact of Mining on Socio-Economic Infrastructure Development - A System Dynamics Approach

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About