Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture

Assessment of outcomes based on the use of PIM-supported foresight modeling work, 2012-2018

“…One such article-the 2018 Nature article coauthored by Marco Springmann and others, including staff of IFPRI and Bioversity-considers various options (reduction of food waste, use of technologies, and shifts to more plant-based diets) for reducing the environmental impacts of the food system, based on projections produced by the IFPRI team using the IMPACT model. The article was published in October 2018; this was toward the end of the period for which we ran a citations analysis 5 and therefore we reported relatively few citations for it in the section on citations analysis. As of October 2019 (one year after publication), the article had 179 citations and an Altmetric score of 2271; this indicates a greater level of visibility for PIM-supported foresight modeling than had been achieved by previous articles.…”

Analysis of long-term challenges for agricultural markets

“…The LAO model has constraints on total water use by sector, total availability of land-use, and on fish stocks for fish from capture. Due to the high level of country aggregation, these limits are rarely reached as resource shortages often occur at a finer geographic level (OECD, 2017 [22]). These limits, however, can be manipulated to perform scenario analysis and have been implemented to allow future model variations to account for more detailed analysis.…”

Creating fairer futures for sustainability transitions

“…This has seen an expansion of future‐orientated activities in industry, policy and academia (see, e.g., Davies, 2014a ; Davies & Doyle, 2015 ; Demneh & Darani, 2020 ; Etherington, 2009 ; Gupta et al., 2020 ; IKEA, 2019 ; Vervoort & Gupta, 2018 ). Within geography, creating and exploring alternative futures was historically dominated by quantitative and physical geographers, contributing to global scenarios (Barnes, 2008 ; Camacho, 2013 ; Manley et al., 2017 ; Sitch et al., 2008 ) and foresight exercises (OECD, 2016 ) for government and policy makers. Meanwhile, human geographers have worked to explore how planning processes shape the nature and extent of participation of diverse publics within them, which then affects the physical and material form and experience of places (e.g., Davies, 2001 ).…”