Agriculture and land use: Demand for and supply of agricultural commodities, characteristics of the farming and food industries, and implications for land use in the UK

Angus, Andrew; Burgess, Paul J.; Morris, Joe; Lingard, John

doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2009.09.020

Cited by 90 publications

(62 citation statements)

References 24 publications

(22 reference statements)

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“…In addition, it has been reported that, despite potential temperature and water-related stresses, barley production in the UK would remain viable under projected climate change [19,20]. Just like other jurisdictions, studies on UK land use futures [14,16] have focused on aggregate changes in major land use types while climate change studies have focused on impacts on crop yields and risks (e.g., [19,20]). However, the interaction of climate change and land use change will substantially influence the scale of production of specific crops such as barley.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effect of Climate and Agricultural Land Use Changes on UK Feed Barley Production and Food Security to the 2050s

Yawson

Mulholland

Ball

et al. 2017

Land

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Currently, the UK has a high self-sufficiency rate in barley production. This paper assessed the effects of projected climate and land use changes on feed barley production and, consequently, on meat supply in the UK from the 2030s to the 2050s. Total barley production under projected land use and climate changes ranged from 4.6 million tons in the 2030s to 9.0 million tons in the 2050s. From these, the projected feed barley supply ranged from approximately 2.3 to 4.6 million tons from the 2030s to the 2050s, respectively. The results indicate that while UK spring barley production will thrive under, and benefit from climate change, total land area allocated to barley production will ultimately determine self-sufficiency. Without expansion in the area of land and/or further significant increases in yields, the UK may face large deficits in domestic feed barley production and, for that matter, meat supply in the future. Hence, agricultural and food security policy needs to consider, principally, the effect of agricultural land use change on key crops, such as barley. Even though the UK can import feed barley or meat to address the deficits observed in this study, the question that needs to be addressed is where all that import will come from.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Effect of Climate and Agricultural Land Use Changes on UK Feed Barley Production and Food Security to the 2050s

Yawson

Mulholland

Ball

et al. 2017

Land

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“…However, the role of wider economic, cultural, social and institutional path dependency factors and their implications for land use and climate change policy remain underexplored. Path dependence has been postulated as one of six Ps that together define major socioeconomic influences that shape land use decisions [20] and which are particularly exemplified through differences in adaptive responses between agriculture and forestry [21,22]. These differences act in tandem with the usual longer-term planning horizons in forestry compared to agriculture due to longer production cycles for tree products compared to crops and livestock.…”

Section: Path Dependencementioning

confidence: 99%

“…Land tenure can therefore be an important influence on land use, particularly as sizeable proportions of the land are rented by tenant farmers with both short-term and long-term lease arrangements. The predominant policy tools for establishing new woodland are grants and advice but previous research has suggested a cultural divide between farming and forestry which can precondition attitudes of land managers towards new woodland creation [21].…”

Section: Case Study Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The longer time scale would be seen as particularly risky by some land managers, notably tenant farmers [53]. In addition, uptake of woodland grants is often hindered by factors such as the amount offered, fit with owners' objectives, amount of paperwork, and availability of advice [21]. A further key factor is the importance of cultural issues: farmers typically identify themselves as food producers meaning that they prioritize land for food production, especially if it is a family farm, and maintaining the land in good condition is important for farm succession issues [54,55].…”

Section: Interpretation Of Recent Trendsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Comparing Path Dependence and Spatial Targeting of Land Use in Implementing Climate Change Responses

Brown

Castellazzi

Feliciano

2014

Land

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Land use patterns are the consequence of dynamic processes that often include important legacy issues. Evaluation of past trends can be used to investigate the role of path dependence in influencing future land use through a reference "business as usual" (BAU) scenario. These issues are explored with regard to objectives for woodland expansion in Scotland as a major pillar of climate change policy. Land use changes based upon recent trends and future transient scenarios to 2050 are used to assess viability of targets for reducing greenhouse gas emissions using analysis based on net emission change factors. The BAU scenario is compared with alternative future scenarios incorporating policy targets and stronger spatial targeting of land use change. Analysis highlights recent trends in new woodland planting on lower quality agricultural land due to socioeconomic and cultural factors. This land is mainly in the wetter uplands and often on carbon-rich soils. Woodland planting following this path dependence can therefore result in net carbon emissions for many years into the future due to soil disturbance during establishment. In contrast, alternative scenarios with more lowland woodland planting have net sequestration potential, with greatest benefits when carbon-rich soils are excluded from afforestation. Spatial targeting can also enhance other co-benefits such as habitat networks and climate change adaptation.

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“…Because only those squares which lay completely within the Marston Vale were selected, the area of pixel-based data (15565 ha) was 3% smaller than the area of the Vale (16094 ha). Using the pixel-based data, agriculture occupied about 71% of the total area (Table 3) compared to a values of 75% for England and 77% for the UK [8].…”

Section: Mapping Land Usementioning

confidence: 99%

A framework for reviewing the trade-offs between, renewable energy, food, feed and wood production at a local level

Burgess

Casado

Gavu

et al. 2012

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

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High fuel prices and concerns about energy security and anthropogenic climate change are encouraging a transition towards a low carbon economy. Although energy policy is typically set at a national level, tools are needed for people to engage with energy policy at regional and local levels, and to guide decisions regarding land use, distributed generation and energy supply and demand. The aim of this paper is to develop a percapita approach to renewable energy demand and supply within a landscape and to illustrate the key trade-offs between renewable energy, food, feed and wood production.The chosen case study area (16000 ha) of Marston Vale, England is anticipated to have a population density midway between that for England and the UK. The daily per capita demand for energy for heat (31 kWh), transport (34 kWh) and electricity (15 kWh) when combined (80 kWh) was seven-fold higher than the combined demand for food (2 kWh), animal feed (6 kWh), and wood (4 kWh). Using described algorithms, the combined potential energy supply from domestic wind and photovoltaic panels, solar heating, ground-source heat, and municipal waste was limited (<10 kWh p -1 d -1 ).Additional electricity could be generated from landfill gas and commercial wind turbines, but these have temporal implications. Using a geographical information system and the Yield-SAFE tree and crop yield model, the capacity to supply bioethanol, biodiesel, and biomass, food, feed and wood was calculated and illustrated for three land-use scenarios. These scenarios highlight the limits on meeting energy demands for transport (33%) and heat (53%), even if all of the arable and grassland area was planted to a high yielding crop like wheat. The described framework therefore highlights the major constraints faced in meeting current UK energy demands from land-based renewable energy and the stark choices faced by decision makers.

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Agriculture and land use: Demand for and supply of agricultural commodities, characteristics of the farming and food industries, and implications for land use in the UK

Cited by 90 publications

References 24 publications

Effect of Climate and Agricultural Land Use Changes on UK Feed Barley Production and Food Security to the 2050s

Effect of Climate and Agricultural Land Use Changes on UK Feed Barley Production and Food Security to the 2050s

Comparing Path Dependence and Spatial Targeting of Land Use in Implementing Climate Change Responses

A framework for reviewing the trade-offs between, renewable energy, food, feed and wood production at a local level

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