2014
DOI: 10.3390/land3030850
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Comparing Path Dependence and Spatial Targeting of Land Use in Implementing Climate Change Responses

Abstract: Land use patterns are the consequence of dynamic processes that often include important legacy issues. Evaluation of past trends can be used to investigate the role of path dependence in influencing future land use through a reference "business as usual" (BAU) scenario. These issues are explored with regard to objectives for woodland expansion in Scotland as a major pillar of climate change policy. Land use changes based upon recent trends and future transient scenarios to 2050 are used to assess viability of … Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…This suggests that the widely used method of estimating soil carbon from a fixed ratio with vegetation biomass overestimates carbon sequestration from afforestation (Hong et al, 2020). Afforestation on peaty soils can lead to losses of soil carbon that outweigh that sequestered as the trees grow (Brown, 2020; Brown et al, 2014; Friggens et al, 2020; Sloan et al, 2018).…”
Section: Potential Pitfalls Of Nature‐based Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This suggests that the widely used method of estimating soil carbon from a fixed ratio with vegetation biomass overestimates carbon sequestration from afforestation (Hong et al, 2020). Afforestation on peaty soils can lead to losses of soil carbon that outweigh that sequestered as the trees grow (Brown, 2020; Brown et al, 2014; Friggens et al, 2020; Sloan et al, 2018).…”
Section: Potential Pitfalls Of Nature‐based Solutionsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…New woodland on farmland can incur an opportunity cost through loss of subsidies, whilst woodland grants are often seen as unaligned to land managers' needs (Lawrence and Dandy, 2014;Slee et al, 2014). Land tenure security and divergences between public and private ownership have further reinforced differences (Muñoz-Rojas et al 2015), shaping a 'path dependency' for afforestation to occur on marginal land (Brown et al, 2014).…”
Section: Opportunities and Conflictsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Land manager groups can have divergent attitudes to new opportunities: hence, private estates are typically interested in new income streams to support existing activities; the forest industry is mainly interested in softwood timber production; and conservation NGOs are motivated by enhanced biodiversity value (Raum, 2018). Most new woodland occurs where constraints on farming means land managers are more open towards alternative uses (Brown et al, 2014) but typically in 'opportunistic' mode, being distant from their core values (Gasson, 1973;Duesberg et al, 2014). A woodland grant for poorer quality land becomes a rational alternative if other factors are conducive.…”
Section: Factors Influencing Afforestation and Peatland Restorationmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Firstly, to what extent is a spatial strategy that incorporates all visions possible? To date, spatially explicit research has included an analysis of suitability for woodland expansion at the national level (Sing et al 2013), and nested modelling of responses to climate change at the regional and national levels (Brown et al 2014), but neither of these take into account governance or land owner decision making. The Land Use Strategy and Land Reform and Community Empowerment agendas suggest that decisions should be made, or at least strongly informed, by local stakeholders.…”
Section: Challenges and Opportunitiesmentioning
confidence: 99%