Adaptation to climate change: changes in farmland use and stocking rate in the U.S.

Mu, Jianhong E.; McCarl, Bruce A.; Wein, Anne

doi:10.1007/s11027-012-9384-4

Cited by 60 publications

(77 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…Previous literature has examined impacts of future climate on agriculture with statistical Breduced-form^models that embody adaptation implicitly (Burke et al 2015, Deschênes and Greenstone 2007, Fezzi and Bateman 2015, Kelly et al 2005, Mendelsohn et al 1994, Mu et al 2013 or in Bstructural^models that represent adaptation explicitly (Adams et al 1990, Antle et al 2004, Mu et al 2015, Reilly et al 2003. A key limitation of these studies is that they project impacts of climate change and adaptation under the assumption of no change in future socioeconomic environment.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios

Sleeter

Abatzoglou

et al. 2017

Climatic Change

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We examine the impacts of climate on net returns from crop and livestock production and the resulting impact on land-use change across the contiguous USA. We first estimate an econometric model to project effects of weather fluctuations on crop and livestock net returns and then use a semi-reduced form land-use share model to study agricultural land-use changes under future climate and socio-economic scenarios. Estimation results show that crop net returns are more sensitive to thermal and less sensitive to moisture variability than livestock net returns; other agricultural land uses substitute cropland use when 30-year averaged degree-days or precipitation are not beneficial for crop production. Under future climate and socio-economic scenarios, we project that crop and livestock net returns are both increasing, but with crop net returns increasing at a higher rate; cropland increases with declines of marginal and pastureland by the end of the twenty-first century. Projections also show that impacts of future climate on agricultural land uses are substantially different and a larger variation of land-use change is evident when socio-economic scenarios are incorporated into the climate impact analysis.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios

Sleeter

Abatzoglou

et al. 2017

Climatic Change

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“…Mu, McCarl, and Wein (2012) find that adaptation involves reductions in cattle stocking rates under projected climate change. Alternatively, farmers could switch breeds so that livestock can adapt to a warmer temperature and changes in precipitation.…”

Section: Lplulm Adaptation Optionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…However, they predict a drop of 24% when there are only increases in temperature. Mu, McCarl and Wein (2012) find in many regions land use shifts from cropland use to grasslands under predicted climate change. IPCC (2007b) indicates that CO2 fertilization 7 enhances grass growth with C3 pasture grasses and legumes positively responding exhibiting about 10% and 20% productivity increases, respectively (Ainsworth and Long 2005;Nowak et al 2004).…”

Section: Grasslandsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Stocking rates may also decline as gross growth is reduced. For example, Mu, McCarl and Wein (2012) find an inverted-U shape between summer precipitation and US cattle stocking rates and that cattle stocking rates decrease with increases in the summer temperature and humidity index (THI). Mader et al (2009) find that under increased CO2 concentration scenarios, the west side of the U.S. Corn Belt encounters productivity losses for swine of as much as 22.4%, while in the east side, losses of over 70% occur.…”

Section: Livestockmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In national studies, Adams et al (1990), Reilly et al (2003), andMcCarl (2011) examine changes in crop acreage and find northward shifts in crop mixes. Mu, McCarl, and Wein (2012) examine the ways climate change induced land use adaptation between crop and pasture in the U.S., and find that climate change causes shifts in land from crop to pasture and lowering of stocking rates.…”

Section: Lplulm Adaptation Optionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Land Use and Climate Change

McCarl

Attavanich

Musumba

et al. 2014

The Oxford Handbook of Land Economics

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Land use is majorly involved with climate change concerns and this chapter discusses and reviews the interrelationships between the vulnerability, adaptation and mitigation aspects of land use and climate change. We review a number of key studies on climate change issues regarding land productivity, land use and land management (LPLULM), identifying key findings, pointing out research needs, and raising economic/policy questions to ponder.Overall, this chapter goes beyond previous reviews and simultaneously treats the troika of vulnerability, mitigation and adaptation aspects of the issue, which will provide readers with a more comprehensive, multifaceted grasp of the spectrum of current issues regarding LPLULM and climate change.

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Carbon sequestration and water management in Texas—One size does not fit all

Bell

DeLaune²,

Fischer

et al. 2023

Agrosystems Geosci & Env

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Climate‐smart agriculture (CSA) is an integrated approach to sustainably meeting food, fiber, and feed production needs. The technical and socioeconomic feasibility of different CSA strategies depends on local conditions, and there is no one‐size‐fits‐all approach. Here, we review two key aspects of CSA with a focus on Texas: soil C sequestration and water management. Carbon sequestration potential is highly variable across Texas as it depends on local biophysical conditions and soil management practices in place, for example, tillage and cover crops. Grasslands also have an important role to play in C sequestration. Important co‐benefits of effective soil management for C sequestration, such as reduced CO2 emissions, enhanced soil structure, and increased microbial activity, can positively impact soil fertility and productivity. The economic and political realities of C sequestration will have a strong influence on the implementation of technically feasible strategies. The major challenge for water management is the sustainable allocation of increasingly scarce resources. Expanded irrigation is a short‐term solution, but in many cases, the existing water supply is insufficient to meet future demand. A drying Texas, and aquifer depletion, portends lower future supplies. The Panhandle, Llano Estacado, and Rio Grande regions have the greatest projected gaps between future supply and demand. Increasing water‐use efficiency and using drought‐tolerant crops are important management goals and precision agriculture with site‐specific management measures could help improve drought resiliency. Texas’ geographic diversity is reflected in the variety of agricultural commodities produced by the state, and CSA activities are likely to be equally diverse.

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Adaptation to climate change: changes in farmland use and stocking rate in the U.S.

Cited by 60 publications

References 23 publications

Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios

Climate impacts on agricultural land use in the USA: the role of socio-economic scenarios

Land Use and Climate Change

Carbon sequestration and water management in Texas—One size does not fit all

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