2017
DOI: 10.1007/s10803-017-3231-0
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Accurate Autism Screening at the 18-Month Well-Child Visit Requires Different Strategies than at 24 Months

Abstract: Accuracy of autism screening using M-CHAT plus the Follow-Up Interview (M-CHAT/F) for children screened positive at 18-months was compared to screening at 24-months. Formal ASD testing was criterion for a community sample of M-CHAT positive children (n=98), Positive Predictive Value (PPV) was 0.40 for the M-CHAT and 0.58 for the M-CHAT/F. MCHAT/F PPV was 0.69 among children 20+ months compared to 0.36 for <20 months. Multivariate analyses incorporating data from the Ages and Stages Questionnaire, MacArthur-Bat… Show more

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Cited by 26 publications
(22 citation statements)
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References 35 publications
(52 reference statements)
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“…M-CHAT authors found lower PPV in younger low risk toddlers (0.28) compared to older ones (0.61) even using the recommended follow-up interview (M-CHAT/F) (Pandey et al, 2008) and recent studies have reported similar findings (Sturner et al, 2013). Another study by the M-CHAT authors suggested that younger toddlers may have a lower PPV, though that difference was not statistically significant (Robins et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 79%
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“…M-CHAT authors found lower PPV in younger low risk toddlers (0.28) compared to older ones (0.61) even using the recommended follow-up interview (M-CHAT/F) (Pandey et al, 2008) and recent studies have reported similar findings (Sturner et al, 2013). Another study by the M-CHAT authors suggested that younger toddlers may have a lower PPV, though that difference was not statistically significant (Robins et al, 2014).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 79%
“…This finding adds to the impression that higher item failures in younger toddlers are: more likely to be due to developmental immaturity than to ASD symptoms than for older toddlers; potential reasons that the M-CHAT is a more definitive screen for older toddlers than younger ones, and that screening accuracy is lower in the younger group in some studies (Pandey et. al., 2008; Sturner et. al., 2013).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Since we know from prospective studies [55] that autism symptoms are just emerging at this age, one approach we have explored was to use items that were unlike the yes/no format of the M-CHAT but rather asked the parents “how much”. When we rescored two very brief existing tools and used them together the result was better sensitivity (0.62) for autism diagnoses than the M-CHAT-R/F (sensitivity of 0.48) without the need for a follow-up interview and this is the best current alternative[56]. Yet the positive predictive value problem has not been solved (only 0.37 and 0.32)[56].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…When we rescored two very brief existing tools and used them together the result was better sensitivity (0.62) for autism diagnoses than the M-CHAT-R/F (sensitivity of 0.48) without the need for a follow-up interview and this is the best current alternative[56]. Yet the positive predictive value problem has not been solved (only 0.37 and 0.32)[56]. However, our preliminary studies show predictive validities equal to the 24 month visit using an algorithm featuring the addition of some standard language items with varying pathways depending ongoing item scoring by the computer [57].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%