Accuracy of Estimations Made by Air Traffic Controllers

Boudes, Nicole; Cellier, Jean-Marie

doi:10.1207/s15327108ijap1002_6

Cited by 14 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 6 publications

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“…The pilots might have perceived the conflict situation to be more urgent as MD decreased, even when the time to the conflict was the same, and this bias could have invoked earlier avoidance maneuvers with the decreasing MD, had conflict resolution been required. The conservativeness found in this experiment is consistent with the time-to-contact (between vehicles) underestimate in driving (Hancock & Manser, 1998) and distance underestimate in air traffic control (Boudes & Cellier, 2000). These findings collectively suggest an inherent bias of the operator to err on the side of caution, where safety is an issue.…”

Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 82%

Effects of Air Traffic Geometry on Pilots' Conflict Detection with Cockpit Display of Traffic Information

Wickens

Rantanen

2004

Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual

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We explored the effects of conflict geometry on pilot conflict understanding, manifested in estimation accuracy of three continuous variables: miss distance, time to closest point of approach, and orientation at the closest point of approach. Results indicated (a) increased difficulty of understanding with conflicts that occurred with slower speeds, a longer time into the future, and a longer distance into the future; (b) a tendency for pilots' judgments often to be conservative, judging that conflicts were both more risky and would occur sooner than was actually the case; and (c) a "distance-over-speed" bias, such that two aircraft viewed farther apart and converging rapidly were perceived as less risky than two aircraft that were closer to each other and converging at a slower rate, even though the time until a conflict occurred was identical.

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Section: Discussionsupporting

confidence: 82%

Effects of Air Traffic Geometry on Pilots' Conflict Detection with Cockpit Display of Traffic Information

Wickens

Rantanen

2004

Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual

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“…Many different tasks and procedures have been used in conflict detection studies. Some studies involve static scenarios (Bisseret, 1981), whereas others involve dynamic scenarios (Boudes & Cellier, 2000;Galster et al, 2001). Some studies present or highlight a single pair of aircraft (Loft, Bolland, Humphreys, & Neal, 2009;Neal & Kwantes, 2009;Rantanen & Nunes, 2005;Vuckovic, Kwantes, & Neal, 2011), whereas others present up to 20 or 30 aircraft on a display (Boudes & Cellier, 2000;Galster et al, 2001;Remington, Johnston, Ruthruff, Gold, & Romera, 2000).…”

Section: Experimental Tasksmentioning

confidence: 99%

Relative Position Vectors

et al. 2013

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“…If one plane is flying toward another's protected zone, a command issued to the pilot to avoid penetration must be issued well before the zone is penetrated. And such proactive control requires the skill of making predictions (Boudes & Cellier, 2000). Efficiency goals, such as maintaining flow of air traffic, and safety goals, such as maintaining separation between aircraft are somewhat conflicting.…”

Section: Air Traffic Controller Tasksmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Classic Expertise Approach and Its Evolution

Gobet

2019

The Oxford Handbook of Expertise

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This chapter reviews the “classic expertise approach,” which is defined as the research line starting with Simon and Chase’s (1973) chunking theory, culminating in the early 1980s, and dominating expertise research until the 1990s. After briefly reviewing early research (e.g., Binet, 1894b; De Groot, 1946), an overview of the key experimental and theoretical results obtained with this approach is provided. The chapter also discusses influential theories stemming from the classic approach, such as long-term working memory (Ericsson & Kintsch, 1995), EPAM-IV (Richman, Staszewski, & Simon, 1995) and template theory (Gobet & Simon, 1996). The discussion highlights the defining research methods and theoretical assumptions of this approach. Directions of research for the future are discussed, based on the characteristics that made the classic approach highly successful.

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Accuracy of Estimations Made by Air Traffic Controllers

Cited by 14 publications

References 6 publications

Effects of Air Traffic Geometry on Pilots' Conflict Detection with Cockpit Display of Traffic Information

Effects of Air Traffic Geometry on Pilots' Conflict Detection with Cockpit Display of Traffic Information

Relative Position Vectors

The Classic Expertise Approach and Its Evolution

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