A Variogram Model Comparison for Predicting Forest Changes

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

Kwon

2022

This study represents an advanced approach to road weather information system (RWIS) network planning. Here, a methodological framework is developed to determine optimal RWIS locations by integrating two analysis domains: space and time. Using a case study, the application of the proposed method is demonstrated using three critical RWIS variables: air temperature, road surface temperature, and dew point temperature. With these three variables, a series of geostatistical semivariogram analyses are performed to construct a single spatiotemporal model named joint semivariogram, which is able to preserve both spatial and temporal aspects. The constructed joint semivariogram is then used to find the optimal RWIS locations for a randomly generated study area using a popular heuristic algorithm—spatial simulated annealing. The proposed method enhances the previously developed RWIS location allocation model by considering both spatial and temporal components of multiple variables. The finding from this analysis reveals that optimal RWIS location strongly depends on the spatiotemporal autocorrelation structure of the variable of interest. Consequently, location solutions generated using the three variables are found to be different from each other. The variation among the RWIS location solutions is then further quantified by developing a spatial similarity index that is used to measure the degree of spatial similarities between different variables. Overall, the findings documented in this study will provide RWIS planners with a more complete and conclusive location allocation strategy and can act as a decision support tool for long-term RWIS network planning.

Section: Spatiotemporal Semivariogram Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Development of a Novel Road Weather Information System Location Allocation Model Considering Multiple Road Weather Variables over Space and Time

Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation R

Kwon

2022

“…The spatial range of autocorrelation is the distance at which the semivariogram reaches the sill value. Spatial autocorrelation is considered zero beyond this spatial range [19][20][21][22]. A typical semivariogram with its parameters is presented in Figure 3(a).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Developing Statewide Optimal RWIS Density Guidelines Using Space-Time Semivariogram Models

Kwon

2020

Journal of Sensors

Preventing weather-related crashes is a significant part of maintaining the safety and mobility of the travelling public during winter months. To help mitigate detrimental effects of winter road conditions, transportation authorities rely on real-time and near-future road weather and surface condition information disseminated by road weather information systems (RWIS) to make more timely and accurate winter road maintenance-related decisions. However, the significant costs of these systems motivate governments to develop a framework for determining a region-specific optimal RWIS density. Building on our previous study to facilitate regional network optimization, this study is aimed at considering the nature of spatiotemporally varying RWIS measurements and integrating larger case studies comprising eight different US states. Space-time semivariogram models were developed to quantify the representativeness of RWIS measurements and examine their effects on regional topography and weather severity for improved generalization. The optimal RWIS density for different topographic and weather severity regions was then determined via one of the most successful combinatorial optimization techniques—particle swarm optimization. The findings of this study revealed a strong dependency of optimal RWIS density on varying environmental characteristics of the region under investigation. It is anticipated that the RWIS density guidelines developed in this study will provide decision makers with a tool they need to help design a long-term RWIS implementation plan.

“…Autocorrelation is considered as zero beyond this spatial range. Three commonly used semivariogram model forms were considered in this analysis ( 22 – 24 ). The models and their associated equations are as follows:…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Use of Topography, Weather Zones, and Semivariogram Parameters to Optimize Road Weather Information System Station Density across Large Spatial Scales

Transportation Research Record

Melles

et al. 2019

A road weather information system (RWIS) is a combination of advanced technologies which collect, process, and disseminate road weather and condition information. This information is used by road maintenance authorities to make operative decisions that improve safety and mobility during inclement weather events. Many North American transportation agencies have invested millions of dollars to deploy RWIS stations to improve the monitoring coverage of winter road surface conditions. The design of these networks often varies by region, however, and it is not entirely clear how many stations are necessary to provide adequate monitoring coverage under different conditions; substantial gaps remain in knowledge about optimal design. To fill these gaps, an investigation was conducted to determine how optimized RWIS station densities relate to topographic and weather characteristics. A series of geostatistical semivariogram models were constructed and compared using topographic position index (TPI) and weather severity index (WSI) to measure relative topographic variation and weather severity, respectively. The geostatistical approach was then applied to map the optimum number of RWIS stations across several topographic and weather zones. The study area captured varying environmental characteristics, including regions with flat or varied terrain and warm or cold regions. This study suggests that RWIS data collected from a specific region can be used to estimate the number of stations required for regions with similar zonal characteristics. The outcome of this study can be used as a decision-making tool for RWIS network expansion, thus maximizing monitoring capability of RWIS networks using topographic and weather-related zonal classifications.