A Study of the Effect of Climate Change on Resilience and Human Health Using Bioclimatic Indicators

Abstract

Nowadays, climate change has been accepted as a rapidly changing phenomenon. With the help of documents, these changes would implicitly or explicitly influence human health. The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of important climatic factors on bioclimatic indicators for the human livability in Chabahar port, Iran. In this regard, four climatic models and three scenarios are taken into account. In addition, the average uncertainty of minimum and maximum temperature and precipitation variations are calculated based on the weighted method. According to the hybrid model, taken from the model and scenario, Chabahar temperature is on the rise between 0.52 and 2.38. Accordingly, bioclimatic factors would experience alteration. Eventually, it would lead to reduced resilience. The results of comfort-thermal indicators (bioclimatic) showed that the conditions are optimal and natural from October to March for individuals residing in Chabahar, Iran. However, the conditions are changing due to the future temperature increase. Such changes would significantly reduce the number of inhabitants in Chabahar and villages nearby.