Background
Low insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) have been associated with increased risk of atherosclerosis and atrial fibrillation in cross-sectional studies. Yet, prospective data linking IGF-1 levels to the development of ischemic stroke remain inconclusive. We examined prospectively the association between serum IGF-1 levels and incident ischemic stroke.
Methods
We measured serum IGF-1 levels in 757 elderly individuals (mean age 79±5, 62% women), free of prevalent stroke, from the Framingham original cohort participants at the 22nd examination cycle (1990-1994) and were followed up for the development of ischemic stroke. Cox models were used to relate IGF-1 levels to the risk for incident ischemic stroke, adjusted for potential confounders.
Results
During a mean follow-up of 10.2 years, 99 individuals developed ischemic stroke. After adjustment for age, sex and potential confounders, higher IGF-1 levels were associated with a lower risk of incident ischemic stroke with subjects in the lowest quintile of IGF-1 levels having a 2.3-fold higher risk of incident ischemic stroke (95% CI: 1.09-5.06, p=0.03) as compared to the top quintile. We observed an effect modification by diabetes and waist-hip ratio (WHR) for the association between IGF-1 and ischemic stroke (p<0.1). In subgroup analyses, the effects were restricted to diabetics and those in top WHR quartile, in whom each standard deviation increase in IGF-1 was associated with a 61% (HR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.20-0.78, p=0.007), and 41% (HR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.37-0.95, p=0.031) lower risk of incident ischemic stroke, respectively.
Conclusions
IGF-1 levels were inversely associated with ischemic stroke, especially among persons with insulin resistance.