A review of Holocene solar-linked climatic variation on centennial to millennial timescales: Physical processes, interpretative frameworks and a new multiple cross-wavelet transform algorithm

Soon, Willie; Herrera, Víctor Manuel Velasco; Kandasamy, Selvaraj; Traversi, Rita; Usoskin, Ilya; Chen, Chen‐Tung Arthur; Lou, Jie-Chung; Kao, Shuh‐Ji; Carter, Robert M.; Пипин, В. В.; Severi, Mirko; Becagli, Silvia

doi:10.1016/j.earscirev.2014.03.003

Cited by 105 publications

(77 citation statements)

References 145 publications

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“…Considering the full width at half maximum (FWHM) of these peaks on the MTM spectrum, this yields respective periodicities of 1228 ± 327, 732 ± 80, 562 ± 58, and 319 ± 16 years for the MM2 sand percentage proxy. Multi-centennial to millennial timescale climate variabilities similar to these periodicities have been reported in the literature for the Holocene (Bond et al, 1997(Bond et al, , 2001Langdon et al, 2003;Debret et al, 2007Debret et al, , 2009Wanner et al, 2011;Kravchinsky et al, 2013;Soon et al, 2014). Amongst the well-known proxies that have revealed a millennial-scale climate variability during the Holocene, the ice-rafted debris (IRD) indices in the North Atlantic developed by Bond et al (1997Bond et al ( , 2001) present a cyclicity of 1470 ± 500 years, which matches the 1228 ± 327-year periodicity evidenced in the Mar Menor, considering the respective uncertainties in the periodicities.…”

Section: Storm Activity In the Context Of Past Climatic Changesmentioning

confidence: 85%

“…Concerning the multi-centennial periodicities, Soon et al (2014) used global proxies to evidence a 500-year fundamental solar mode and to identify intermediate derived cycles at 700 and 300 years, which could be rectified responses of the Atlantic THC to external solar modulation and pacing. Kravchinsky et al (2013) also found a 500-year climate cycle in southern Siberia presumed to be derived from increased solar insolation and possibly amplified by other mechanisms.…”

Section: Storm Activity In the Context Of Past Climatic Changesmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Extreme storms during the last 6500 years from lagoonal sedimentary archives in the Mar Menor (SE Spain)

et al. 2016

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Abstract. Storms and tsunamis, which may seriously endanger human society, are amongst the most devastating marine catastrophes that can occur in coastal areas. Many such events are known and have been reported for the Mediterranean, a region where high-frequency occurrences of these extreme events coincides with some of the most densely populated coastal areas in the world. In a sediment core from the Mar Menor (SE Spain), we discovered eight coarse-grained layers which document marine incursions during periods of intense storm activity or tsunami events. Based on radiocarbon dating, these extreme events occurred around 5250, 4000, 3600, 3010, 2300, 1350, 650, and 80 years cal BP. No comparable events have been observed during the 20th and 21st centuries. The results indicate little likelihood of a tsunami origin for these coarse-grained layers, although historical tsunami events are recorded in this region. These periods of surge events seem to coincide with the coldest periods in Europe during the late Holocene, suggesting a control by a climatic mechanism for periods of increased storm activity. Spectral analyses performed on the sand percentage revealed four major periodicities of 1228 ± 327, 732 ± 80, 562 ± 58, and 319 ± 16 years. Amongst the well-known proxies that have revealed a millennial-scale climate variability during the Holocene, the ice-rafted debris (IRD) indices in the North Atlantic developed by Bond et al. (1997, 2001) present a cyclicity of 1470 ± 500 years, which matches the 1228 ± 327-year periodicity evidenced in the Mar Menor, considering the respective uncertainties in the periodicities. Thus, an in-phase storm activity in the western Mediterranean is found with the coldest periods in Europe and with the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. However, further investigations, such as additional coring and high-resolution coastal imagery, are needed to better constrain the main cause of these multiple events.

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Section: Storm Activity In the Context Of Past Climatic Changesmentioning

confidence: 85%

Section: Storm Activity In the Context Of Past Climatic Changesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Extreme storms during the last 6500 years from lagoonal sedimentary archives in the Mar Menor (SE Spain)

et al. 2016

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“…TSI generates the Earth's radiation environment and influences its temperature and atmosphere;even asmall persistent variation of the solar irradiance takes part in climate changes, so it is very important for us to understand how the variations of TSI affect the Earth's climate system. There have been many investigations that have considered whether and how the TSI (solar activity) influences the Earth's climate (Eddy 1976;Haigh 2001;Egorova et al 2005;Solanki et al 2013;Soon & Legates 2013;Soon et al 2014). Because the Earth's climate system, especially the atmosphere and oceans, reacts rather slowly to the solar variation, the long-time variation of TSI is possibly moreim-portant for climate change (Eddy 1976;Krivova et al 2007;Domingo et al 2009).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

What Causes the Inter-Solar-Cycle Variation of Total Solar Irradiance?

Xiang

Kong

2015

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The Physikalisch Meteorologisches Observatorium Davos total solar irradiance (TSI), Active Cavity Radiometer Irradiance Monitoring TSI, and Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium TSI are three typical TSI composites. Magnetic Plage Strength Index (MPSI) and Mount Wilson Sunspot Index (MWSI) should indicate the weak and strong magnetic field activity on the solar full disk, respectively. Cross-correlation (CC) analysis of MWSI with three TSI composites shows that TSI should be weakly correlated with MWSI, and not be in phase with MWSI at timescales of solar cycles. The wavelet coherence (WTC) and partial wavelet coherence (PWC) of TSI with MWSI indicate that the inter-solar-cycle variation of TSI is also not related to solar strong magnetic field activity, which is represented by MWSI. However, CC analysis of MPSI with three TSI composites indicates that TSI should be moderately correlated and accurately in phase with MPSI at timescales of solar cycles, and that the statisticalsignificancetest indicates that the correlation coefficient of three TSI composites with MPSI is statistically significantly higher than that of three TSI composites with MWSI. Furthermore, the cross wavelet transform (XWT) and WTC of TSI with MPSI show that the TSI is highly related and actually in phase with MPSI at a timescale of a solar cycle as well. Consequently, the CC analysis, XWT, and WTC indicate that the solar weak magnetic activity on the full disk, which is represented by MPSI, dominates the inter-solar-cycle variation of TSI.

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“…Torrence and Compo (1998) has defined the wavelet power spectrum as |W n (s)| 2 , while Norbert Wiener introduced the concept of cross function (Soon et al, 2014). This function allows us to find similarities and differences between two time series: (1) when they have high power in common, and (2) when there is a phase relationship between the two signals.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The Morlet wavelet was used (Torrence and Compo, 1998) and was chosen because it provides a higher periodicity resolution in the complex number domain, allowing us to filter the series in bandwidths (Torrence and Compo, 1998;Soon et al, 2014). The Morlet wavelet, w 0 ðgÞ, consists of a complex exponential function modulated by a Gaussian and is defined as (Torrence and Compo, 1998):…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Mexican forest fires and their decadal variations

Herrera

2016

Advances in Space Research

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A high forest fire season of two to three years is regularly observed each decade in Mexican forests. This seems to be related to the presence of the El Niñ o phenomenon and to the amount of total solar irradiance. In this study, the results of a multi-cross wavelet analysis are reported based on the occurrence of Mexican forest fires, El Niñ o and the total solar irradiance for the period 1970-2014. The analysis shows that Mexican forest fires and the strongest El Niñ o phenomena occur mostly around the minima of the solar cycle. This suggests that the total solar irradiance minima provide the appropriate climatological conditions for the occurrence of these forest fires. The next high season for Mexican forest fires could start in the next solar minimum, which will take place between the years 2017 and 2019. A complementary space analysis based on MODIS active fire data for Mexican forest fires from 2005 to 2014 shows that most of these fires occur in cedar and pine forests, on savannas and pasturelands, and in the central jungles of the Atlantic and Pacific coasts.

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A review of Holocene solar-linked climatic variation on centennial to millennial timescales: Physical processes, interpretative frameworks and a new multiple cross-wavelet transform algorithm

Cited by 105 publications

References 145 publications

Extreme storms during the last 6500 years from lagoonal sedimentary archives in the Mar Menor (SE Spain)

Extreme storms during the last 6500 years from lagoonal sedimentary archives in the Mar Menor (SE Spain)

What Causes the Inter-Solar-Cycle Variation of Total Solar Irradiance?

Mexican forest fires and their decadal variations

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